MoneyOnComputer

[ValdisTF]

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

06.07.2016

Euro

General overview

The Euro weakened due to the uncertainty regarding the future of the UK and Italian banks. The Italian Government is considering banks recapitalization to overcome the current situation.

Current situation

The pair remained below the upward channel. There was an attempt to grow that failed. The pair bounced upwards from the 50-day moving average and approached the 200-day moving average on the 4 hour chart. However, the returned sellers sent the price below 1.1130. The resistance stands at 1.1130, the support lies in at 1.1000.

Technically the indicators remained in a green zone. The indicator MACD decreased. If its histogram returns into a negative area it will be a sign to sell. RSI moved away from an oversold area, which is a sell signal. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are horizontal. The 50-day moving average is a resistance.

Trading recommendations

We are looking for the support 1.1050 break and then continuation of a fall with a further target at 1.1000. Otherwise, the pair may grow 1.1200-1.1220.



Pound

General overview

The pound fell to 31-year low against the US dollar after the weak data of UK service sector. The Bank of England decided to launch new liquidity measures to support the financial sector.

Current situation

The GBP/USD remained under pressure. The pair was not able to break 1.3500 and decreased to 31-year lows. The resistance is at 1.3100, the support comes in at 1.2900.

Indicators remained in a red zone. MACD decreased, which is a sell signal. RSI entered the oversold zone, it is also a sell signal. The GBP/USD is below the Moving Averages (50, 100 and 200) on the 4 hour chart. The Moving Averages are moving downwards. All indicators support the bearish trend.

Trading recommendations

Sellers are targeting to test the psychological level 1.3000. If they succeed the pair will decrease to 1.2900.



Yen

General overview

The yen grew amid an increased demand for the safe assets. This was due to the new signs of uncertainty about the future of the UK and Italian banks.

Current situation

The USD/JPY got under pressure when traders began profit-taking. The pair decreased and set a new local low at 101.40. The resistance stands at 102.50, the support is at 101.40.

The indicators (MACD and RSI) continued giving signals to sell. MACD decreased, RSI touched the oversold area. The instrument moved from the 50-EMA on the 4 hour chart. The Moving Averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving downwards, it is another sell signal.

Trading recommendations

We expect the 101.40 line break that will open the way for the sellers to 100.30.



AUD/USD

General overview

The Australian Central Bank left the interest rates unchanged amid a political instability in the country and abroad.

Current situation

The price was not able to move far from 0.7500. After reaching 0.7550 the AUD fell and set a new local low at the mark 0.7450. The resistance is at 0.7500, the support comes in at 0.7400.

MACD and RSI decreased, which is a sell signal. Any further decrease will indicate sellers growing strength. The instrument approached the 50-day moving average on the 4 hour chart. This line may become a support for the price and it bounces upwards. The Moving Averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving horizontal.

Trading recommendations

The price may bounce from the level 0.7440 (the 50-EMA). In the scenario where the buyers return to the market the price will grow to 0.7550. Alternatively, if the AUD/USD does make a breakout at the level 0.7450 the price will decrease to 0.7400.



GOLD

General overview

The gold grew yesterday due to expectations that leading Central Banks will increase their incentives to prevent Brexit effect.

Current situation

The gold futures continued its growth and approached the recently set high at 1360. The resistance is at 1360, the support comes in at 1330.

Technically, indicators remained in a green zone. MACD and RSI grew which is a buy signal. The growth of indicators indicate buyers’ strength. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving upwards, it is another buy signal.

Trading recommendations

The potential growth targets are the resistance levels: 1360 and 1390.



Brent

General overview

The oil prices were under pressure as concerns over the global economy pressured the future demand of oil.

Current situation

The Brent futures were able to test a strong physiological level 50.50. After testing the level the oil quotes decreased. The Brent broke levels 49.50, 48.50 and touched 47.50. In general, the crude oil futures lost about 4% during the trades. The resistance is at 48.50, the support is at 47.50.

The indicators (MACD and RSI) became negative and ended the day in a red zone. MACD moved into the negative zone, RSI touched the oversold area, which is a sell signal. The 100-day moving average broke the 50-EMA and 200-EMA on the 4 hour chart.

Trading recommendations

If the resistance around 47.50 holds the next stop could well be at the 46.50 region. Conversely, the Brent will grow to 49.50.



NASDAQ

General overview

The global stock markets showed a negative trend yesterday. The demand for risky assets decreased and Nasdaq Composite fell by 1.13%.

Current situation

The Nasdaq returned to sales after a four-day rally. The index reversed at 4440 and fell below 4400. The Nasdaq Composite ended the day at mark 4384. The resistance comes at 4400, the support exists at 4350.

Even though MACD decreased its histogram remained in a positive zone. RSI moved away from the oversold area. Both indicators recommend short positions. The price broke the 200-EMA and touched the 100-day moving average. The 200-day moving direction is horizontal. The 50-EMA and 100-EMA are moving downwards.

Trading recommendations

The price is likely to go to the support level of 4350.



S&P 500

General overview

The US indexes fell when the oil futures and the other commodities decreased. There will begin a season of finance reports in the USA soon. According to analysts, the profit of the companies included in the S&P 500 declined by 5.4% in the second quarter.

Current situation

The S&P500 was growing almost the week and stopped its rally at the mark 2100. The price reversed and lost about 0.84% during the trades. The resistance comes in at 2085, the support lies at 2070.

MACD and RSI decreased from the overbought level. Indicators recommend short positions. The index broke the 200-day moving average and approached the 100-EMA. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are horizontal on the 4 hour chart.

Trading recommendations

We recommend going short with the first target - 2070. When the price consolidates below the first target it may go to the level 2055.





*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

07.07.2016

Euro

General overview

EURUSD weakened yesterday. There are no positive drivers for the euro. The retail sector in the Eurozone declined, and the euro began experiencing the effects of Brexit.

Current situation

The euro again came under pressure. This time the EUR/USD fell due to the risk aversion. The pair tried to recover yesterday, but stopped at the mark 1.1100. The immediate support is seen at 1.1000, the resistance stands at 1.1130.

The indicators recommend short positions. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving downwards. The price touched the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The pair is below the 100-EMA and 200-EMA on the same chart.

The indicator MACD decreased. If its histogram stays in the negative area it will be a signal to sell. RSI moved away from an oversold area. If its signal line turns back to undervalued zone it will be a sell signal.

Trading recommendations

To trigger further downward movement the pair needs to fall below 1.1050. Alternatively, the EUR/USD will recover to 1.1130. We believe that the euro will remain under pressure until the UK leaves the EU.



Pound

General overview

The pound continued to fall against the US currency, despite BoE Governor (Mark Carney) clear plan on: how to support the British economy. The political vacuum in the United Kingdom is blocking any further actions to support the economy. Meanwhile, the outflow of the capital in the country is also gaining power.

Current situation

The GBP/USD remained under pressure, its main trend is down. The GBP/USD broke a strong psychological level 1.3300 and lost about 200 pp. The pair set a fresh 31-year low at the mark 1.2793. The resistance is at 1.3100, the support comes in at 1.2900.

The indicators remained in a red zone. MACD decreased, which is a sell signal. RSI remained in the oversold area, it is also a sell signal.

The GBP/USD is below the Moving Averages (50, 100 and 200) on the 4 hour chart. The Moving Averages are moving downwards. All indicators support the bearish trend.

Trading recommendations

We believe that any recovery will be short-lived and will be limited in 1.3500 region. The main trend is down. We think that the levels 1.2900 and 1.2700 are the next sellers’ targets.



Yen

General overview

The dollar fell against the yen, as British pound sales had an upward pressure on the Japanese currency. The yen also received support when traders began closing their long positions in the emerging markets.

Current situation

The pair has been correcting for 4 days in a roll. The instrument decreased as a risk aversion sentiment dominated in the financial word. The price set a new low since June 24th. The USD/JPY reached a strong psychological level 100.00. The resistance stands at 101.40, the support is at 100.00.

The indicators bounced from the oversold area in the 4 hours chart. MACD remained in the negative zone. At the same time RSI grew away from the oversold area.

The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) direction is downwards. The technical overlook is bearish.

Trading recommendations

In the event that the sellers manage to force below 100.00 the decrease will be continued to 99.00. The USD/JPY may recover to 102.50.



CAD

General overview

The Canadian dollar as a commodity currency is still under pressure due to the side effect of the British referendum.

Current situation

The pair got under pressure yesterday after reaching a new local high at 1.3050. However, sellers were stopped at 1.3000 level, which limited the further downward movement. The resistance is at 1.3000, the support comes in at 1.2900.

MACD and RSI decreased, which is a sell signal. Any further decrease will indicate sellers growing strength. The moving averages formed a cross-over in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA is a support for the pair. The moving averages direction is horizontal.

Trading recommendations

We believe that the price is likely to go to the support level of 1.2900.



GOLD

General overview

The gold has been strengthening for 6 consecutive sessions. The metal is in demand due to the risk aversion in the market after Brexit. In addition, investors are waiting for leading Central Banks to start their new easing measures, which will support gold futures.

Current situation

The gold futures continued its growth and set a new high at 1374. This is the highest mark since 2014. After reaching 1374 the pair started a consolidation and decreased to 1360. The resistance is at 1390, the support comes in at 1360.

Technically, indicators remained in a green zone. MACD and RSI grew which is a buy signal. RSI is in the overbought zone. The indicator will give a buy signal till it stays in the current zone.

The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving upwards in the 4 hours chart. The price resides above them. In the 1 hours chart the price is decreasing to the 50-EMA.

Trading recommendations

The fundamental factors support buyers. We presume that any correction will be short-lived. In the potential scenario, the next stop for the XAUUSD could well be around 1390. A break below 1350 will be followed by moving down to the support level 1330.



Brent

General overview

The oil prices stabilized after the sharp losses of the day before. However, Brent remained in the red zone. The oil declined when investors turned their attention to the safe assets due to renewed concerns about the global economic prospects.

Current situation

The Brent recovered after a 3 day decreased. The price was able to grow by 1.50%. The level 49.50 stooped its further growth. The resistance is at 49.50, the support is at 48.50.

The indicators (MACD and RSI) remained negative and ended the day in a red zone. RSI bounced from the oversold area. If it grows further it will be a buy signal for us. Sellers will prevail till MACD remains in the negative zone.

The price is below the moving averages (50, 100 and 200) in the 4 hours chart. The instrument touched the 50-EMA and bounced downwards. The moving averages are moving horizontal.

Trading recommendations

If the price breaks below 47.50 the Brent will decrease to 46.50 region. Conversely, the quotes will continue their recovery to 50.50 area.



DAX

General overview

Most European stock indices fell yesterday due to a new wave of concerns about the global economy after Brexit.

Current situation

The index spent the day in a red zone. DAX30 lost about 1.67% during the trades. The price fell from 9515 and stopped at the mark 9287. This level seems to be a hard barrier for the index as it has been bounced from it many times. The resistance comes at 9550, the support exists at 9400.

MACD remained in the negative area. The indicator will be bearish until it leaves the negative zone. RSI bounced from the overbought area. If the signal line grows further it will be a buy signal.

The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving downwards in the 4 hours chart. The 200 and 100 EMAs direction is horizontal in the 1 hours chart. The 50-EMA has broken the 200 and 100 EMAs downwards.

Trading recommendations

The break above 9500 will strengthen buyers’ positions. The price may grow to 9550. Alternatively DAX will decrease to 9250.



S&P 500

General overview

The commodity sector showed the most notable selling in the stock market. The industrial group Danaher showed the largest price change (DHR, -21.4%). The company shares fell as the company shared some parts of its business to a new company.

Current situation

The index showed mixed dynamics, the price was decreasing and growing at the yesterday’s trades. However, buyers won that struggle and SP500 was able to grow by 0.30%. The resistance comes in at 2100, the support lies at 2085.

MACD returned to a growth. The indicator will show a buy signal till it stays in the positive area. RSI reversed to a growth which is a buy signal. The price bounced from the 100-EMA and broke the 200-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The price will grow till it stays above the moving averages (50, 100 and 200) in the 4 hours chart.

Trading recommendations

SP500 may continue its recovery. Buyers’ target is the level 2100. In the alternative scenario the instrument will decrease to 2070.




*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

]"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

08.07.2016

Euro

General overview

The euro decreased against the dollar after the weak Industrial PMI in Germany. The index showed a decrease by 1.3%.

Current situation

The pair remained under pressure. The EUR/USD is in a descending channel. Its low limit resides at the mark 1.1035, its upper limit is at 1.1111. Even though the instrument grew to the local high at 1.1111 on Wednesday the euro failed to reach the key resistance at 1.1130. The immediate support is seen at 1.1050, the resistance stands at 1.1130.

The pair traded below the 200-EMA which is currently seen as a resistance in the 1 hours chart. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs direction is downwards in the 4 hours chart, it indicates a downtrend. The RSI decreased and is below the 50 level. MACD is in neutral area, close to the centerline. The indicators are still bearish.

Trading recommendations

The EUR/USD is under pressure. A break below 1.1050 would open the door to 1.1000. Otherwise the price will grow to 1.1130.



Pound

General overview

On Thursday the pound made an attempt to grow from the record lows after a positive Industrial PMI publication. However, investors remained cautious regarding the future of the UK economy that still pressures the pound.

Current situation

The British currency remained inside a short bearish channel. The GBP/USD returned some of its losses during the European session on Thursday. However, the recovery was short-lived and it dropped back to the nearest support 1.2900. The pair is still below the mark 1.30. Investor sentiment towards the pound is still negative. The resistance is at 1.3100, the support comes in at 1.2900.

The EMA50, EMA100 and EMA200 kept decreasing in the 1 hours chart, which is a sell signal. The EMA50 acts as a resistance for the price. MACD is below its centerline, its histogram decreased. RSI remained close to the oversold area. If the oscillator enters the oversold area, it will be a sell signal. The indicators recommend short positions.

Trading recommendations

The pound remains weak as political uncertainty in the UK is still high. The next target for this pair is the support level of 1.270



Yen

General overview

The yen slightly strengthened after the Japanese regulator’s statements. The BoJ will preserve the quantitative and qualitative easing programs together with the negative rates till they reach the targeted inflation of 2%.

Current situation

The yen traded sideways yesterday. The pair was in a narrow sideways channel between 101.20 and 100.60. The instrument seems not to have enough power to break the strong level 100.00 as bulls defend this psychological mark. The technical outlook is negative for the pair. The resistance stands at 101.40, the support is seen at 100.00.

The price is below the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages are moving downwards. The USD/JPY traded below the 50-EMA in the 1 hours chart which acts as a resistance for the instrument.

MACD remained negative, its histogram remained at the same levels. RSI remained at the same level as well. Its signal line is close to the oversold area.

Trading recommendations

In the event that the sellers manage to force below 100.00 the decrease will be continued to 99.00. The USD/JPY may recover to 102.50.



AUD/USD

General overview

The Australian dollar decreased when the rating agency S&P downgraded the Australian credit rating. The rating was downgraded from stable to negative.

Current situation

The AUD/USD decreased after wining back some of its losses on Wednesday. The instrument traded in a descending channel where the pair moved from its upper limit yesterday. The mark 0.7540 remains the key resistance for the pair which is defended by sellers as the pair has bounced from the level the second time within a week. The resistance is at 0.7500, the support comes in at 0.7400.

The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving upwards. The price is approaching the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart.

MACD decreased, if its histogram enters the negative zone it will be a sell signal. RSI is below the 50 level. If its signal line decreases we will get a sell signal.

Trading recommendations

The fundamentals pressured the Australian dollar. The price is expected to fall towards 0.7400 (the 200-EMA).



GOLD

General overview

On Thursday, the yellow metal traded near 28-month high. The unemployment reports in the USA came in better than expected. That news supported the dollar and slowed down the growth of the gold.

Current situation

The gold decreased on Thursday after a rally to its highest since 2014 on Wednesday. The gold futures lost about 0.50% during the course of trades. However, the pair was able to return some of its losses. The resistance is at 1390, the support comes in at 1360.

MACD and RSI decreased from the oversold area. However, the indicators remained in a green zone. If RSI returns into the overbought zone it will be a buy signal. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving upwards in the 4 hours chart. The XAU/USD bounced upwards from the 100-EMA in the 1 hours chart. The 50-EMA acts as a resistance for the price.

Trading recommendations

We believe the growth will be continued now. The target is the level 1390.



Brent

General overview

The Brent returned into the red zone when Crude Oil Stocks change report showed a decrease that coincided with investors' expectations. Analysts remained disappointed as they expected a stronger drop.

Current situation

The Brent futures dropped from 49.50 to 46.50 on Thursday. The instrument lost about 300 pp and stopped its fall at 46.15. The resistance exists at 47.50, the support lies at 46.50.

The indicators (MACD and RSI) do not give a clear signal. The overall picture remained bearish.
The price is below the moving averages (50, 100 and 200) in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages are moving downwards.

Trading recommendations

If the price fixates below the support 46.50, it may continue the downward trend in the short term. The potential target is 45.30.



Nasdaq

Current situation

The index consolidated trading close to the level 4440. Nasdaq traded in s sideways after a Wednesday’s rally. The resistance comes at 4440, the support exists at 4400.

The indicators are in the green zone and recommend long positions. MACD is in the positive area; its histogram remained at the same level, it is a buy signal. RSI is close to the overbought area. If the oscillator grows further, that will be a buy signal. The 200-EMA acts as a support for the index and does not let it fall below in the 4 hours chart. The 200-EMA direction is horizontal. The 50-EMA is turning upwards, the 100-EMA is moving downwards.

Trading recommendations

We expect the 4440 line break that will open the way for the sellers to 4350.



S&P 500

General overview

Strong Labor market reports in the USA supported the Bonds Market which grew on Thursday.

Current situation

The index showed mixed dynamics on Thursday. The pair made an attempt to grow during the day and fell in the American session. The overall picture remained bullish. The resistance comes in at 2100, the support lies at 2085.

The indicators are in the green zone. MACD is in the positive area; its histogram remained at the same level, it is a buy signal. RSI is close to the overbought area. If the oscillator grows further, it will be a buy signal. The 200-EMA acts as a support for the S&P 500 in the 4 hours chart. The 200-EMA direction is horizontal. The 50-EMA is turning upwards, the 100-EMA is moving downwards.

Trading recommendations

The index S&P 500 decrease may be continued. If the SP500 index breaks the level of 2085 we expect the downward movement to 2070.



*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

11.07.2016

Euro

General overview

The USA labor report supported the dollar. The Non-Farm Payrolls showed 287K versus the forecasted 175K. However, the unemployment rate grew from 4,7% to 4,9%.

Current situation

The pair remained under pressure. The Non-Farm supported the dollar which was able to grow by 120pp. However, its growth was short-lived and the pair returned to a decrease. The immediate support is seen at 1.1050, the resistance stands at 1.1130.

MACD is in the negative area, the histogram little changed since the end of the last week. The indicator shows the sellers’ strong positions. RSI approached the oversold area. If the oscillator enters the oversold area, it will be a sell signal.

The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) direction is downwards in the 4 hours chart. In the 1 hours chart the price touched the 50-EMA and bounced from the 100-EMA.

Trading recommendations

We recommend short positions. A downtrend will be continued as soon, as the pair drops below the support level 1.1000.



Pound

General overview

The pound grew against the dollar on Friday after a strong Trade Balance report. Investors’ concerns regarding the Brexit faded for a while.

Current situation

The pair little changed since the last week. The GBP/USD traded at the support 1.2900 last Friday. The instrument is in the descending channel, at its lower limit. The pound is consolidating after a sharp drop. The resistance is at 1.3100, the support comes in at 1.2900.

MACD is in the negative area that indicates the sellers’ strong positions. RSI rebounded from the oversold area. If the oscillator enters the oversold area, it will be a sell signal. Its growth will weaken the sellers’ positions.

The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving downwards in the 4 hours chart. The pound is at the 50-EMA in the 1 hours chart. The 100-EMA acts as a resistance for the instrument.

Trading recommendations

We preserve a bearish outlook for the pair. After the 1.2900 support break the price may fall to 1.2700. Alternatively, the GBP/USD may recover to 1.3300.



Yen

General overview

The dollar strengthened after a strong Non-Farm Payrolls report. Despite the positive Non-Farm the USA economy remained under pressure.

Current situation

The USD/JPY remained in the descending channel in the 4 hors chart. The price is in a flat on the level 100.00. The resistance stands at 101.40, the support is seen at 100.00.

The price is below the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs which are moving downwards in the 4 hours chart. The instrument tested the 100-EMA and bounced from it below the 50-EMA in the 1 hours chart.

MACD remained negative that indicates the sellers’ strong positions. RSI is close to the oversold area. If the oscillator enters the oversold area, that will be a sell signal.

Trading recommendations

The price is likely to stay in a flat 101.40-100.00. We do not exclude an upward correction. If the pair breaks 101.40 up it will open the way to the level of 102.50.



CAD

General overview

The unemployment rate unexpectedly decreased in Canada in June.

Current situation

The CAD is in an ascending channel, near its upper limit. The pair made an attempt to break the level 1.3100, however, the attempt failed. The price bounced from the resistance 1.3100 downwards. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are horizontal in the 4 hours chart. The resistance is at 1.3100, the support comes in at 1.3000.

MACD is in the positive area that indicates the buyers’ strong positions. RSI is close to the overbought area. If the oscillator enters the overbought area, we expect the growth continuation.

Trading recommendations

We recommend going short with the first target – 1.2900. When the price consolidates below the first target it may go to the level 1.2800.



GOLD

General overview

The gold quotes decreased after a strong Labour market report in the USA. However, the decrease was short-lived and the gold grew back due to uncertainty about the Brexit results.

Current situation

The gold futures remained near the 31 year highs. There were volatile trades on Friday after the fundamental news from the USA. The USA published a strong Non-Farm report. However, the report did not weaken the metal. The XAUUSD renewed local lows at 1335 and returned to its highs in the 1370 region. The resistance is at 1360, the support comes in at 1330.

MACD is in the positive area; its histogram growth will indicate the buyers’ positions strength. RSI is close to the overbought area. If the oscillator enters the overbought area, it will be a buy signal.

The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving upwards in the 4 hours chart. The XAUUSD tested and bounced upwards from the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA acts as a support for the price.

Trading recommendations

The trend is objectively bearish, however, the price is overvalued and the XAUUSD may start a correction soon. If the pair grows its next stop could be at 1390. If the yellow metal falls the level 1330 will become the sellers’ target.



Brent

General overview

The uncertainty about the global economy pressured the oil futures. The Brent was volatility, the price declined due to an excess of the petroleum products and an economy growth slowdown. However, the disruptions with the oil supplies and expectations that the world oil reserves will be decreased supported the futures.

Current situation

The Brent has been under pressure since the beginning of the summer. The instrument is at the low limit of the descending channel. The price is at the key support 46.50. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving downward in the 4 hours chart. The 200-EMA is a key resistance for the pair. The resistance exists at 47.50, the support lies at 46.50.

MACD histogram decreased that indicates the sellers’ strength. RSI is close to the oversold area. If the oscillator remains at the same levels, we expect the downward movement continuation.

Trading recommendations

The potential growth targets are the resistance levels: 47.50 and 48.50.



DAX

General overview

The German stock market grew on Friday. The technology, media and construction sectors strengthened most of all. The shares of ThyssenKrupp AG were the growth leaders among the DAX 30 index components. The shares gained 6.47%.

Current situation

The German DAX slowed down its growth last Friday. The index is in a consolidation in the 1 hours chart.

MACD is close the centerline that indicates the sellers’ positions weakness. RSI rebounded from the oversold area that also supported buyers.

The 200-EMA stopped the DAX growth, the 100-EMA acts as a support for the price. The pair recovered to the 100-EMA in the 4 hours chart which acts as a resistance for the index. The resistance comes at 9760, the support exists at 9550.

Trading recommendations

Although the pair seemed to continue with the recovery its growth slowed down. To trigger additional upward momentum the index needs to break the current resistance at 9625. Alternatively, the DAX will decrease towards 9400.



S&P 500

General overview

The American Band Market grew last Friday after a strong Non-Farm Payrolls release. The shares of JPMorgan, Wells Fargo и Bank of America grew by 1-2%.

Current situation

The positive news from the USA supported the index. The SP500 grew with a gap just after the Labour market release. The instrument set a new local high at 2125. Now the price reached the pre-Brexit levels.

The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are turning upwards. The resistance comes in at 2120, the support lies at 2100.

MACD is increasing that indicates the buyers’ positions strength. RSI is in the overbought area. If the oscillator remains at the same levels, it will be a buy signal.

Trading recommendations

We expect the 2120 line break that will open the way for the buyers to 2140.



*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

12.07.2016

Euro

General overview

The strong US employment data supported the dollar. The labour market continued to encourage investors that the USA economy will keep recovering.

Current situation

The EUR/USD has been trading in a range for 3 weeks now. Yesterday the pair remained under pressure in the red zone, the trades were neutral. The resistance is at 1.1130, the support comes in at 1.1050.

The indicators recommend short positions. MACD is in the negative area that confirms sellers’ strength. RSI is close to the oversold area. If the oscillator continues to grow, it will be a buy signal.

The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) direction is downwards in the 4 hours chart which is a sell signal. The price broke the 50-EMA and tested the 100-EMA which limited its growth in the 1 hours chart.

Trading recommendations

Even though the EUR/USD is neutral the pair is still in a red zone. We believe that the instrument will remain there for a while. A downtrend will start as soon as the pair drops below the support level 1.1000 (a strong psychological level).



Pound

General overview

The unexpectedly strong employment report strengthened the US dollar against its major counterparts. The growth of the dollar pressured the British pound. The Bank of England will meet this week and the regulator may lower the rate from 0.50% to 0.25%. This news will have a strong impact on the pound in the coming days.

Current situation

The pair pond/dollar remained under pressure. There is a downward trend on the daily chart. The pair is in a descending channel in the 4 hours chart. Yesterday the pair tested the mark of 1.2840 but failed to fixate at it and returned above the level of 1.2900. The indicators recommend short positions. The resistance is at 1.3100, the support comes in at 1.2900.

MACD is in the negative area. The indicator may cross the centerline upwards. If the indicator gets into the positive area it will give us a buy signal. RSI is growing which is a buy signal.

The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) direction is downwards in the 4 hours chart which is a sell signal. The price broke the 50 and 100 EMAs in the 1 hours chart. The 100-EMA acts as a resistance and does not let the pound to grow.

Trading recommendations

The current rebound above 1.2900 should be considered corrective. The pair traded sideways while waiting for the new drivers. If the pair manages to make a breakout of 1.3100 it may grow towards 1.3300. Once we break below the 1.2900 level, we think that the 1.2700 level will be next.



Yen

General overview

Machinery Orders unexpectedly fell in Japan. The strong yen and weak demand undermined corporate profits and spending plans in the country. The unexpected decrease of Machinery Orders indicates a slowdown in the investments.

Current situation

The pair USD/JPY recovered and gained about 2,11% yesterday. The instrument stopped its climbing at the 102.80 area. The resistance stands at 103.50, the support is seen at 102.50.

The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs are moving downwards in the 4 hours chart which is a sell signal. Yesterday the instrument broke through the 50-EMA and 100-EMA downwards in the 4 hours chart. The USD/JPY broke the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs which are turning upwards in the 1 hours chart.

Indicators are moving in the green area. MACD may cross the centerline upwards and move into the positive area. Its growth will indicate the buyers’ strength. RSI is close to the overbought area. If the oscillator continues its growth it will be a buy signal.

Trading recommendations

Buyers have the ball now. We believe the growth will be continued. The pair may grow to the resistance level 103.50. After breaking 103.50 the buyers may advance to 104.50.



NZD/USD

General overview

The New Zealand dollar weakened against the US dollar, the NZD / USD pair lost about 0.93%. Oil prices pressured commodity currencies due to the recovery of drilling activity recovery in the US.

Current situation

The sellers took control over the market. The pair NZD/USD finished the day a red zone, the NZD lost about 1,07% on Monday. The resistance is at 0.7250, the support is seen at 0.7150.

MACD decreased that indicated that buyers’ positions weakened. RSI left the overbought area and it is in the neutral zone now. The decrease of the oscillator indicates the sellers’ strength.

The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are growing in the 4 hours chart which is a buy signal. The quotes broke the 50-EMA and stopped at the 100-EMA in the 1 hours chart. The 100-EMA acts as a support now.

Trading recommendations

According to the daily chart the trend is objectively bullish. However, we recommend going short now with the first target – 0.7150 (the 50-EMA). We will buy the price from the lower levels. The price may rebound from the 0.7150 level to grow to 0.7250.



GOLD

General overview

On Monday, gold futures rose while trading to 28-months high. According to the market rumors the Fed will remain cautious regarding its interest rates, despite the positive employment reports.
Current situation

Even though the price lost about 1,04% yesterday the gold quotations remained in the green zone. The pair showed a low volatility on Monday. The price was trading between the levels 1355 and 1374. The resistance is at 1360, the support comes in at 1330.

The indicators showed a growth continuation on the Daily chart. MACD decreased that indicates the buyers’ weakness. RSI is in a neutral zone giving no signal.

The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs are moving upwards in the 4 hours chart which is a buy signal. The gold broke the 50-EMA and stopped at the 100-EMA in the 1 hours chart. The 100-EMA acts as a support for the pair for now.

Trading recommendations

We expect the 1360 line break that will open the way for the buyers to 1390. We do not exclude pull-backs to 1330 and 1300.



Brent

General overview

Investors are waiting for oil reports and Chinese GDP publication.

Current situation

The buyers tried to raise the oil price yesterday but failed to succeed. The Brent stopped around the 47th figure. During the American session sellers returned to the market and the price fell below the level 46.50. The resistance is at 46.50, the support is at 45.30.

The indicators are in the red zone. The MACD histogram decreased. RSI is close to the overbought area. If the indicators remain at the same levels, it will be a sell signal.

The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving downwards in the 4 hours chart. The price is below the EMAs, it is a sell signal. The Brent futures touched the 50-EMA and bounced downwards from it in the 1 hours chart.

Trading recommendations

If the price fixates below the level of 46.50, it may continue the downward trend in the short term. The potential target is 45.30.



NASDAQ

General overview

The major US stock indexes rose on Monday amid an increased confidence in the US economy. Investors received the proof of the USA economy recovery after the impressive employment data release last Friday. In addition, Labor Market Conditions Index in the USA moderately improved in June which supported the index as well.

Current situation

The index NASDAQ continued its growth on Monday. The index was supported by Non-Farm release which was published last Friday. The resistance comes at 4600, the support exists at 4550.

The general trend is up at the Daily chart. Indicators are in the green zone. MACD grew that indicates the buyers’ strength. RSI is in the overbought area, it is also a buy signal.
The technical picture was mixed yesterday. The speedy 50-EMA broke through the 100-EMA and approached the 200 EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 100 and 200-EMAs are horizontal. The 1 hours chart showed another picture. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs are moving upwards. The 50-EMA acts as a support for the quotes.

Trading recommendations

We believe the growth will be continued now. The buyers’ target is the level 4600.



S&P 500

General overview

The unexpected growth of the Non-Farm Payrolls allowed the S&P 500 to set a record high. There is no resistance now as the index has never been this high before. All major US stock indexes were able to recover to the pre-Brexit levels.

Current situation

The S&P 500 gapped upwards at the Monday trades opening. After that the instrument continued its rally which it started last Friday. The resistance comes in at 2140, the support exists at 2120.

Technically, the sentiment held as bullish. MACD is in the green zone that indicates the buyers’ strength. RSI is in the overbought area, it is also a buy signal.

The 50-EMA broke upwards the 100 and 200 EMAs in the 4 hours chart which is a buy signal. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs are moving upwards in the 1 hour chart. The 50-EMA acts as a support for the instrument.

Trading recommendations

As bulls have the ball now the growth will be continued. The levels 2140 and 2150 are the next buyers’ targets. We do not exclude pull-backs towards the mark 2100.



*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

13.07.2016

Euro

General overview

While the markets were analyzing the latest USA Labour Market report, the dollar fell against other major currencies. Investors changed their focus from the Brexit and its consequences to the upcoming Central Banks meetings.

Current situation

The pair EUR/USD rebounded upward from the level 1.1050 and tested the resistance level 1.1130. However the price slightly fell to the level 1.1100 by the end of the trades. The market will present a modest positive tone in the short term. The resistance is at 1.1130, the support comes in at 1.1050.

MACD remained in the negative territory. The indicator is ready to leave it. The histogram is at the centerline. Its growth will show the sellers’ weakness and buyers’ strength. RSI is in the neutral zone giving no signal.

The technical indicators have retreated from the overbought territory. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) direction is downwards in the 4 hours chart which is a sell signal. The price broke the 50-EMA and tested the 100-EMA in the 4 hours chart. However the 100-EMA rejected the pair downwards. The price is between the 50-EMA and 100-EMA that act as a support and a resistance. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs are turning upwards in the 1 hours chart that may become a buy signal.

Trading recommendations

The pair is under pressure. If the EUR/USD does make a breakout at that level 1.1050 the instrument may decrease to 1.1000.



Pound

General overview

The news that Theresa May may become the next Prime Minister supported the pound. This news lowered the political uncertainty which followed the Brexit. However, the pound remained under pressure expecting the possible rate hike this Thursday.

Current situation

The British pound recovered and bounced from the post-Brexit 31-year low at 1.2790. The instrument reached the fresh 1-week high at 1.3300 during the course of the day. The pair gained more than 250 pips throughout the day and left the resistance 1.3100 behind. However, technically, the GBP remained under bearish pressure. The resistance is at 1.3300, the support comes in at 1.3100.

MACD crossed the zero line upwards and moved to the positive zone that indicates the buyers’ strength. RSI is above 70 and is overbought which also supports buyers. If the oscillator remains in the overbought area, it will strengthen the bulls’ positions.

The pound broke the 50-EMA and approached the 100-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 1 hour chart showed that the instrument broke the 50, 100 EMAs and headed higher and already above the 200 EMA.

Trading recommendations

In the potential scenario, the next stop for the GBP/USD could well be around 1.3500 that acts as a strong resistance for the pound.



Yen

General overview

Shinzo Abe's victory in the recent elections did not support the yen. The yen remained under bearish pressure waiting for the fresh stimulus package. Risk appetite also put pressure on the yen.

Current situation

The yen fell to its lowest levels in over two weeks against the dollar. The pair USD/JPY continued its growth and broke the resistance levels of 103.50 and 104.50. Yesterday the pair showed a growth by 2,31%. The resistance stands at 105.30, the support is seen at 104.50.

The indicators MACD and RSI kept heading north in the 4 hours chart. MACD is in the positive area. The histogram continued it growth that indicates buyers’ strength. RSI is in the overbought territory which strengthened the buyers’ positions.

The price broke the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs and headed further upwards in the 4 hours chart. The EMAs are turning upwards after the price.

Trading recommendations

Buyers still control the market. We are looking for the resistance 105.30 break and then continuation of a growth with a further target at 106.00.



AUD/USD

General overview

The AUD/USD presented a stable growth despite the Brexit results. The rate in the country is the one of the highest in the world and its economy is one of the most stable. The AUD also gets support from the upcoming stimulus measures in Japan.

Current situation

The Australian dollar as a commodity currency jumped as risk appetite returned to the markets. The price grew in the ascending channel and reached its upper limit. The AUD/USD broke through the level of 0.7600 upwards in the 4 hours chart. The resistance is at 0.7700, the support comes in at 0.7600.

MACD is in the positive area and continued its growth that indicates the buyers’ strength. RSI approached the overbought area that also supports upward trend.

The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are growing in the 4 hours chart which is a buy signal.

Trading recommendations

The buyers need to break above 0.7700 for a steady growth. The way to the mark 0.7800 will be opened after this breakthrough.



GOLD

General overview

The gold futures showed negative dynamics due to the possible stimulus measures in Japan and due to the decreased demand for the safe assets.

Current situation

The gold quotations decreased after the consolidation below the level of 1360. The price dropped by 1,50% and tested the support level 1330. The resistance is at 1360, the support comes in at 1330.

MACD is in the negative territory which indicates the sellers’ strength. RSI is in the oversold zone which is also a sell signal.

The price broke the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs in the 1 hours chart. The moving averages are turning downwards.

Trading recommendations

If the pair manages to make a breakout of the mark 1330 the gold may fall to 1316. Alternatively, the pair will grow to 1360.



Brent

General overview

The Brent was steadily growing during the course of day. The decrease of the dollar together with the problems with the oil supplies from Africa and Middle East supported the futures.

Current situation

The Brent quotations sharply grew by 4,93% and broke through the levels 46.50 and 47.50. The price tested the resistance level of 48.50 by the end of the trades. The resistance is at 48.50, the support is at 47.50.

MACD histogram is in the negative area. MACD grows that indicates the buyers’ strength. RSI is close to the overbought area that confirms buyers’ strength in the market.

According to the 4 hours chart the price tested the 50-EMA, but failed to grow further. The Brent futures broke the 50 and 100 EMAs and tested the 200-EMA in the 1 hours chart. The 50 and 100 EMAs are turning upwards, the 200-EMA acts as a resistance.

Trading recommendations

After the level of 48.50 breakthrough upward the growth potential target is 49.50. If the price falls it will get to 47.50.



DAX

General overview

The European stock markets have been growing for 4 sessions in a line. The market was supported by the upcoming stimulus measures from the BoJ and BoE together with a decrease of the political tensions in the UK.

Current situation

The index DAX sharply increased and showed a growth by 1,33% on Tuesday. The price approached the important level of 10000. The resistance comes at 10000, the support exists at 9750.

The MACD histogram is in the positive area that indicates the buyers’ strength. RSI is in the overbought area that also supports buyers.

The price is above the 200 EMA in the 4 hours chart which acts as a support. The 50 and 200 EMAs are turning upwards.

Trading recommendations

Technically the index is overbought. We expect a correction towards 9760 where the price may get a support and grow back to 10000.



S&P 500

General overview

The USA Bonds Market was positive yesterday. The S&P 500 climbed to a new all-time high on Tuesday. The signs of the USA economy strength, the oil recovery and the cautious Fed position regarding the rate hike supported the index.

Current situation

The index S&P 500 continued to grow on Tuesday. The price tested the resistance level 2140 and then broke it through. Later the price tested the level 2150. The resistance comes in at 2150, the support lies at 2140.

MACD remained in the positive area that indicates the buyers’ strength. RSI is in the overbought area that also supports an upward trend.

The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs are moving upwards. The 50-EMA broke the 100 and 200 EMAs upwards which is a buy signal.

Trading recommendations

The pair is close to the strong resistance 2150. If the pair breaks it we expect the growth to 2180. We also do not exclude the downward correction to 2120.



*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

14.07.2016

Euro

General overview

The dollar is stable against the euro. Investors are waiting for the new signals regarding the USA economy.

Current situation

The euro recovered during the course of the day, the pair gained about 0.46%. The instrument remained in a short-term descending channel; the price approached its upper limit. The resistance is at 1.1130, the support comes in at 1.1050.

MACD indicator is at the centerline. If the histogram enters the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market. RSI is in the neutral zone giving no signal.

The price broke the 50-EMA and 100-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The EUR/USD approached the 200-EMA which acts as a resistance for the pair.

Trading recommendations

The price is likely to remain in a flat limited by 1.1130-1.1050 levels.



Pound

General overview

The news that Cameron officially resigned as the UK Prime Minister and Theresa May took over supported the pound. That news decreased the political uncertainty which followed the Brexit referendum. The pound is under pressure, the pair is waiting for the BoE decision regarding the rate.

Current situation

The GBP/USD decreased after a short-lived consolidation during the Asian session on Wednesday. The pair lost about 0.65% yesterday. The instrument remained in a descending channel, its upper limit is at the mark 1.33, its lower limit is at 1.2830. The resistance is at 1.3300, the support comes in at 1.3100.

MACD is in the positive area. The histogram fell which indicates the buyers’ weakness. Indicator RSI rebounded from the overbought area that also supports sellers.

The 100-EMA is a resistance in the 4 hours chart. The price rebounded from the 100-EMA and returned to the 50-EMA which acts as a support.

Trading recommendations

We believe the growth will be continued now. The first target is the level 1.3300, the next one is 1.3500.



Yen

General overview

The yen was unstable on Wednesday and fell against the dollar when the risk aversion returned to the market. Traders will keep a close eye on news flow surrounding the expected additional fiscal stimulus.

Current situation

The pair consolidated after the recent rally. The USD/JPY remained in a low side channel limited by 104.00 and 104.90. The resistance is at 104.50, the support comes in at 103.50.

MACD is in the positive area. The MACD remained at the same level which confirmed uncertainty in the market. RSI is in the overbought area. If its signal line decreases that will be a buy signal.

The pair is at the 200-EMA which acts as a support. The 50-EMA and the 100-EMA are below the price and are turning upwards.

Trading recommendations

We suppose the pair will consolidate around the level of 104.50. We do not exclude the growth to 105.30.



USD/CAD

General overview

The Bank of Canada held the rates steady on Wednesday, although declining oil prices appeared to limit the CAD.

Current situation

The CAD/USD broke the 50-EMA and snapped the 100-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The quotes rebounded from the 100-EMA which acts as a support. The resistance is at 1.3000, the support comes in at 1.2900.

MACD is in the positive area. Its histogram decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI approached the oversold area that also supports the sellers’ strength.

The pair decreased and lost about 0.60% yesterday. The instrument is in a short-term ascending channel and the pair approached its lower limit.

Trading recommendations

The potential decrease targets are two levels of support: 1.2900 and 1.2800.



GOLD

General overview

Yesterday the gold grew as investors returned to the yellow metal as a safe heaven asset when the price dropped on Tuesday.

Current situation

The pair remained in a sideways. The gold futures consolidated after a sharp decrease the other day. The instrument remained in a narrow channel 1335 – 1346. The resistance is at 1360, the support comes in at 1330.

MACD is in the negative area. The histogram grew which indicates the sellers’ weakness. Indicator RSI rebounded from the oversold area. Its signal line moved upward which confirms the strength of buyers.

The price broke the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart, it moved downwards and rebounded from the 100-EMA. The 50-EMA and the 100-EMA are moving horizontal, the 200-EMA is moving upwards.

Trading recommendations

If the price fixates below the support 1330, it may continue the downward trend in the short term. The potential target is 1300. If the price grows it will get to 1360.



Brent

General overview

The Brent decreased when the International Energy Agency (IEA) warned that the oversupply on world markets threatens the price recovery. The American Petroleum Institute (API) release showed an unexpected growth in the US stocks.

Current situation

The Brent was under pressure, the instrument lost about 4.50%. The price is in a descending channel, the oil futures decreased to the lower limit. The resistance is at 46.50, the support comes in at 45.30.

MACD histogram is in the negative area which indicates the sellers’ strength. If MACD continues its decrease, bears’ positions will strengthen. RSI is close to the overbought area which confirms a downtrend.

The price rebounded from the 50-EMA downwards. The moving averages are turning downwards in 4 the hours chart.

Trading recommendations

We may expect the growth towards 47.50, further on we expect a fall to 45.30.



NASDAQ

General overview

The Bonds Market in the USA snapped the intraday highs on the trades opening on Wednesday. However, the growth was short-lived and the price corrected downwards as investors took a pause after a 3 day rally. The Nasdaq moved into the positive territory this year.

Current situation

The price is in a consolidation after a one week rally. The index is above the support 4550. The index quotes are in the narrow range 4560 – 4585. The resistance is at 4600, the support is seen at 4550.

The MACD histogram is in the positive area. Its histogram decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI came out from the overbought area and moved downwards that also supports sellers.

The 50-EMA crossed the 100 and 200 EMAs upwards which indicated the buyers’ strength.

Trading recommendations

We expect the index NASDAQ to continue a consolidation at the current levels. We do not exclude a slight decrease towards 4550 and 4500.



S&P 500

General overview

The weakened political tensions in Japan and the UK and the hopes that the Central Banks will launch the new stimulus program will support the market.

Current situation

The index is overbought and is in a consolidation phase. The new historical high is at 2140. The instrument is between the current support and the resistance. Yesterday the SP500 lost about 0.10%. The resistance comes in at 2140, the support lies at 2140.

MACD is in the positive area. Its histogram decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI left the overbought area that also supports sellers.

The 50-EMA crossed the 100 and 200 EMAs upwards which indicated the buyers’ strength.

Trading recommendations

The index S&P 500 may continue the consolidation at the current marks. The potential decrease target is the level of 2120.



*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

15.07.2016

Euro

General overview

The euro strengthened against the dollar amid the risk aversion. Traders became less cautious regarding the Brexit consequences as well. The USA published the Initial Jobless Claims that came out better than the forecast.

Current situation

The pair jumped to fresh weekly highs after the BoE’s decision to keep the rate unchanged and fell back on the news from the USA. The new daily high is at 1.1161. The resistance is seen at 1.1130, the support lies at 1.1050.

MACD was positive, its histogram grew which indicates the buyers’ strength. RSI is in the neutral zone giving no signal.

The price broke the 200-EMA which rejected it downwards in the 4 hours chart. The 200-EMA acts as a resistance for the pair now.

Trading recommendations

We may expect the trades between the levels of 1.1130 and 1.1050.



Pound

General overview

The pound grew by 200 points when the BoE decided to keep the rate unchanged. The regulator probably left the door open to launch the stimulus for August.

Current situation

The BoE’s decision triggered a sharp short-term rally that boosted the GBP/USD to a two-week high level. The new daily high is at around 1.3500. The resistance is at 1.3500, the support exists at 1.3300.

MACD is still positive. If MACD remains in the positive territory, buyers’ positions will strengthen. Indicator RSI rebounded from the overbought area that supports sellers.

The instrument remained below the bearish 100-EMA which acts as a resistance in the 4 hours chart. The price rebounded from the 100-EMA and remained close to it.

Trading recommendations

The pair shows a tendency to grow. In this potential scenario, the pair will grow to 1.3700. Alternatively, the price will drop to 1.2900.



Yen

General overview

The dollar grew above yen for the first time in three weeks. The yen weakened waiting for new fiscal stimulus from BoJ. The Japanese Bonds Market growth pushed the yen as well.

Current situation

Technically, a bullish tone persists in the 4 hours chart. The USD/JPY pair kept rallying on hopes that the Japanese regulator will launch a stimulus program soon. Yesterday the instrument set a new local high at 106.00. Now the pair is overbought and we expect a bounce backwards. The resistance is at 106.00, the support comes in at 105.30.

MACD remained in the positive area. The histogram grew which is a buy signal. RSI is close to the overbought area. If its signal line decreases that will be a sell signal.

The pair pushed away from the 200-EMA which acts as a support in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA and the 100-EMA are below the price and are turning upwards which is a buy signal.

Trading recommendations

The pair may consolidate at the current levels. If the pair breaks the level of 105.30 downwards we expect a fall to 104.50.



AUD/USD

General overview

The AUD strengthened after the positive Consumer Inflation Expectation report. Later the pair suffered a short lived downward movement after negative labour market data.

Current situation

Technically, the instrument is in an ascending channel, close to its upper limit. In general, the pair was in a buy mode and remained at the week highs. The AUD was unable to break the level 0.7650 and traded in a narrow corridor between 0.7650 and 0.7600. The resistance is at 0.7700, the support comes in at 0.7600.

MACD is in the positive area. Its histogram decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI is in the neutral territory and gives no signal.

The instrument is above the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs which are moving upwards in the 4 hours chart. The 1 hour chart shows the similar picture, the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs are parallel to each other and are growing. The 200-EMA is a support for the AUD/USD.

Trading recommendations

We expect markets to stay fairly neutral with short-term bounces downwards to 0.7600 and 0.7550.



GOLD

General overview

The gold is under pressure due to:
1. The return to risk assets
2. The USA economy recovery
3. The expectations that the USA will hike the rate this year

Current situation

The pair remained in an ascending channel, near its lower limit. The gold futures moved lower following the decision of the BoE to keep the rates unchanged. The new local low is at 1320. The resistance is at 1360, the support comes in at 1330.

MACD is in the negative area. The histogram grew which indicates the sellers’ weakness. Indicator RSI rebounded from the oversold area. Its signal line moved upwards which confirms the strength of buyers.

The price broke the 50-EMA, but was stopped at the 100-EMA which rejected it upwards. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs are turning downwards.

Trading recommendations

We are looking for the support 1316 break and then continuation of a fall with a further target at 1300.



Brent

General overview

The Brent is under pressure due to concerns that the market is oversupplied with oil.

Current situation

The Brent was stronger on Thursday, trading near the local high against the dollar. The price recovered after a sharp decrease the other day, the Brent gained about 1.90% during the course of the trades. The resistance is at 47.50, the support comes in at 46.50.

MACD histogram is in the negative area which indicates the sellers’ strength. If MACD continues its decrease, bears’ positions will strengthen. RSI is close to the overbought area which confirms a downtrend.

The price rebounded from the 50-EMA downwards. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are turning downwards in 4 the hours chart.

Trading recommendations

The resistance level of 47.50 retest is more likely to lead to the strong price support level 46.50 return.



DAX

General overview

The German stock market grew due to the technology, the chemical industry and telecommunications sectors strengthening. Deutsche Bank was the leader of a growth (among the DAX 30 index), its shares rose by 3.62%.

Current situation

The index was strong, its bullish tone persisted yesterday. The DAX30 started a day with a gap upwards and set a fresh local high at 10100. The resistance is at 10175, the support is seen at 1000.

The MACD histogram is in the positive area. If MACD remains in the positive territory, buyers’ positions will strengthen. RSI came out from the overbought area and moved downwards that also supports sellers.

The 50-EMA touched the 100-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA and 100-EMA direction is downwards which is a buy signal. The 200 EMA is neutral.

Trading recommendations

The downward bounce potential targets are 10000 and 9750.



S&P 500

General overview

The Bonds Market in the USA grew yesterday. Investors are evaluating the BoE's decision and the USA statistics. The Standard & Poor's 500 has been showing a profit the 5th session in a line, the index renewed its historical highs.

Current situation

The index went back and forth during the course of the session on Thursday. It grew during the Asian and the European sessions and moved away from all-time high at the American one. The market looks like it could pull back a little. The resistance comes in at 2165, the support lies at 2150.

MACD is in the positive area. Its histogram decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The indicator still gives a buy signal. RSI is in the overbought territory which is a buy signal for now.

The 50-EMA crossed the 100 and 200 EMAs upwards which indicated the buyers’ strength.

Trading recommendations

We suppose the index S&P 500 will form the consolidation between the levels of 2165-2150.



*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

18.07.2016

Euro

General overview

This week the ECB will hold the meeting regarding its monetary policy which may become a driver for the single currency if Draghi makes unexpected statements.

Current situation

The EUR/USD unexpectedly dropped and lost about 0.74% on Friday. The overall picture is bearish now. The resistance is seen at 1.1050, the support lies at 1.1000.

MACD indicator is at the centerline. If the histogram enters the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. RSI approached the oversold area.

The 4 hours chart shows that the price bounced off the 200-EMA. The pair left behind the 100-EMA and the 50-EMA which is a sell signal.

Trading recommendations

The pair may recover to 1.1080 to resume its downward trajectory towards 1.0900.



Pound

General overview

The BoJ left its rates unchanged, however, the regulator left the door open for changes for August. This news preserved some risk appetite in the markets.

Current situation

The tone is still negative in the market. The pound fell from a two-week high on Friday when the U.S. data boosted the dollar across the market. The pound lost about 1.20% during the course of the day. The current resistance is seen at 1.3300, the support exists at 1.3100.

MACD indicator declined. If the histogram enters the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. Indicator RSI rebounded from the overbought area that supports sellers.

The instrument is locked in-between the bearish 100-EMA and the 50-EMA. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) direction is downwards.

Trading recommendations

We remain bearish on the outlook for the currency. A move below the current support 1.3100 would suggest a resumption of the bearish trend.



Yen

General overview

The yen kept falling and reached the three-week highs during Friday. The Japanese currency is under pressure after the Bonds market growth. If the situation does not change the Japanese regulator may implement new softening measures.

Current situation

We see no change in USD/JPY outlook. The growth from 98.97 is still seen as a correction and it seems to be over. The pair sharply decreased on Friday and lost about 0.47%. Sellers seem to have returned to the market. The resistance is at 105.30, the support comes in at 104.50.

MACD remained in the positive territory, however, its histogram decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI left the overbought area which is another sell signal.

The pair is coming back to the 200-EMA which acts as a support in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA and the 100-EMA are still moving upwards which is a buy signal.

Trading recommendations

The price is expected to fall towards 103.50. Alternatively, the pair will resume its growth.



NZD/USD

General overview

The NZD decreased when RBNZ decided to provide an update on the economy on July 21. The kiwi is too strong and the regulator might cut the rate to hold its growth.

Current situation

Technically, the instrument left the upward channel. The NZD decreased and left the level 0.7150 behind. The resistance is at 0.7150, the support comes in at 0.7050.

MACD is in the negative area. Its histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ positions strength. RSI is close to the oversold territory which is a sell signal.

The 4 hours chart shows that the instrument broke the 50 and 100 EMAs and approached the 200-EMA which is its last hope to resume a growth.

Trading recommendations

We expect markets to stay bearish. In the scenario where the sellers still have a ball the pair will decrease to 0.7050 - 0.7000.



GOLD

General overview

The gold resumed its decrease. The political uncertainty, the bank crisis in Italy and the low rates in the leading economies are the main drivers for this decrease.

Current situation

The pair remained close to the ascending channel lower limit. The gold futures spent the day at the level 1330. The resistance is seen at 1360, the support stands at 1330.

MACD is in the negative area. The histogram grew which indicates the sellers’ weakness. Indicator RSI rebounded from the oversold area. Its signal line moved upwards which confirms the growing strength of buyers.

The price broke the 50-EMA, but was stopped at the 100-EMA which rejected it upwards. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs are turning downwards.

Trading recommendations

We are looking for the support 1316 break and then continuation of a fall with a further stop at 1300.



Brent

General overview

The Brent is getting cheaper due to supply and demand aspects. At the same time economical uncertainty after the Brexit still supports a demand for the safe assets.

Current situation

The Brent was active on Friday, the oil futures gained about 1.30%. The price recovered and was able to return some of its early losses. However, the market still bearish and we do not believe in a strong growth in the near term. The resistance is at 48.50, the support comes in at 47.50.

MACD indicator is at the centerline. If the histogram enters the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. RSI is close to the overbought area.

The price broke the 50-EMA, but was not able to move higher the 100-EMA. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving downwards in 4 the hours chart.

Trading recommendations

The resistance level of 48.50 retest is more likely to lead to the strong price support level 46.50 return.



NASDAQ

General overview

The Bonds Market in the US remained optimistic due to the positive macroeconomic data in the US.

Current situation

The index was neutral on Friday. The Nasdaq remained in a narrow side channel. The resistance is at 4600, the support is seen at 4550.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The indicator still gives a buy signal. RSI left the overbought area and moved downwards that also supports sellers.

The price broke the 50-EMA and touched the 100-EMA in the 1 hour chart. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs direction is upwards which is a buy signal.

Trading recommendations

We expect the price to remain at the current levels and will fluctuate between 4600 and 4550.



S&P 500

Current situation

The index left all-time high and moved below 2150. As we expected the market pulled back a little. The index lost about 0.53% on Friday. The resistance comes in at 2150, the support lies at 2140.

MACD is in the positive area. Its histogram decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The indicator still gives a buy signal. RSI left the overbought territory.

The 50-EMA touched the 100-EMA in the 1 hour chart. The moving averages direction is upwards.

Trading recommendations

Technically, the main trend is upwards, however, sellers managed to lead the price from 2160 to 2140. We believe that is a correctional decrease which happened due to the profit-taking. The price may decrease to 2120 (where the 50-EMA lies) to bounce from it upwards.




*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

19.07.2016

Euro

General overview

There is still a degree of mild optimism that the Fed will hike the rate this year, which supported the dollar. Investors evaluate the chance of the rate hike by 42%.

Current situation

A daily chart shows that the pair is in the range between the marks 1.1000 and 1.1170. The euro remained within the middle-term descending channel in the 4 hours chart. The instrument found a very solid support around 1.1000 (a strong psychological level). The resistance is seen at 1.1130, the support lies at 1.1050.

MACD is in the negative area. The histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ strength. RSI bounced from the oversold area, its signal line grew that indicates buyers’ growing strength.

The price is close to the 50-EMA which acts as a resistance. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving downwards which is a sell signal.

Trading recommendations

Shall the pair break the support 1.1000 the instrument EUR/USD will decrease to 1.0900. A break above 1.1130 could lead to a growth towards 1.1200.



Pound

General overview

The pound grew to the session high after Martin Weale’s speech (BoE representative). According to him, there is no rush to cut the interest rate in August.

Current situation

In general, we do not see any change in GBP/USD's outlook, its downtrend is still in progress. The pair attempted to recover some of its previous week losses. However, the growing impulse faded at around 1.3300. The current resistance is seen at 1.3300, the support exists at 1.3100.

MACD remained neutral yesterday. If the histogram enters the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. Indicator RSI is in the neutral territory.

The instrument is sandwiched between the 100 and the 50 EMAs. The 200-EMA direction is downwards, the 50-EMA and the 100-EMA are horizontal.

Trading recommendations

We still remain bearish on the outlook for the currency. If price makes another attempt to break the level 1.3100 the pound may fall to 1.2700.



Yen

General overview

The yen weakened on Monday when Turkish government returned its control over the country after a failed coup. Investors initially ran to the yen as a safe asset on the news about a coup attempt.

Current situation

USD/JPY remained in a trading range around 106.00 level. Our technical outlook is still short-term bullish. The resistance is at 106.00, the support comes in at 105.30.

MACD remained in the positive territory, however, its histogram decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI returned to the overbought area which is a buy signal.

The 50-EMA broke the 100-EMA upwards. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are still moving upwards which is a buy signal.

Trading recommendations

An uptrend will start as soon, as the pair rises above 106.00. Once we break above the 106.00 level, we think that the 107.00 level will be next. Conversely, the price may fall back to 103.50.



USD/CAD

General overview

There is a moderate sentiment in the market today. The oil quotes are the main guideline for the pair. The growth of Brent will support sellers in the USA/CAD.

Current situation

We believe the pair is back to a long-term downwards trend, however, it found quite a lot of support around 1.2900. Yesterday the pair grew and was able to gain about 0.15%. The resistance is at 1.3000, the support comes in at 1.2900.

MACD is in the negative area. Its histogram grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. Indicator RSI is in the neutral territory.

The 4 hours chart shows that the instrument broke the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs. The 200-EMA acts as a support for the pair. The EMAs direction is horizontal.

Trading recommendations

The approach to the level of 1.3000 may lead to a price rebound down. The potential rebound target is the support level of 1.2900.



GOLD

General overview

The gold quotes remained under pressure close to the 2-week lows when the markets recovered after the failure of the military coup in Turkey.

Current situation

The current decrease is looking corrective with the more positive sentiment for the market. The instrument found a very solid support around 1330. The resistance is seen at 1330, the support stands at 1316.

MACD is in the negative area. The histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ strength. Indicator RSI is close to the oversold area.

The price is locked in-between the 50-EMA and the 100-EMA. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs are turning downwards.

Trading recommendations

We suppose the pair will go to 1316 first. Having overcome the first target the price might go downwards to 1300.



Brent

General overview

The Brent went back and forth on Monday fluctuating in a narrow range amid drilling activity growth in the USA. Moreover, investors are digesting the news regarding a failed coup in Turkey.

Current situation

The overall outlook remains bearish. The Brent is in a descending channel, hovering at the support 46.50. The Brent showed negative dynamic yesterday when the instrument dropped back below 47.50. The resistance is at 47.50, the support comes in at 46.50.

MACD indicator is at the centerline. If the histogram enters the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. RSI is in the neutral territory.

The price broke the 50-EMA downwards. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving downwards in the 4 hours chart.

Trading recommendations

If the instrument grows its next stop could well be at 47.50 region. If the price breaks above this region, then this could lead to renewed buying momentum. Alternatively, a break below the current support 46.50 risks a decline towards 45.30.



DAX

General overview

European shares opened higher on Monday on the news that SoftBank will acquire ARM Holdings (a smartphone chip designer).

Current situation

The index was neutral on Monday. The DAX remained in a narrow side channel which is limited by the marks 10000 and 10090. The index seems to have found a solid support at the current level 10000. The resistance is at 10175, the support is seen at 10000.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The indicator still gives a buy signal. RSI is close to the overbought area which is a buy signal.

The price is at the 50-EMA in the 1 hour chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving upwards.

Trading recommendations

We may expect the trades between the levels of 10175 and 10000.



S&P 500

The Bonds Market strengthened in the USA on Monday. S&P500 traded near intraday highs as the financial reports of the leading USA companies kept showing positive data.

Current situation

The S&P500 remained in a narrow side channel which is limited by the marks 2160 and 2150. The resistance is at 2165, the support is seen at 2150.

MACD is in the positive area. Its histogram decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The indicator still gives a buy signal. RSI is close to the overbought territory.

The price broke the 50-EMA, but failed to break the 100-EMA in the 1 hour chart. The moving averages direction is upwards.

Trading recommendations

We suppose the price will remain in the side channel 2165-2150.



*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

20.07.2016

Euro

General overview

Economic Sentiment in Germany has fallen to its lowest level for 4 years. The uncertainty regarding the further world economy prospects after the Brexit was the main reason which influenced the sentiment. This news weighed on the euro. Moreover, Housing Starts rose more than expected in the USA which supported the dollar.

Current situation

The EUR/USD closed bearish yesterday. Technically, the pair is in a descending channel. The price formed a new lower low at 1.1000 (the strong psychological support). The instrument lost about 0.53% during the course of the trades. The resistance is seen at 1.1050, the support lies at 1.1000.

MACD is in the negative area. The histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ strength. RSI returned to the oversold area, its signal line decreased that also indicates sellers’ strength.

The price moved from the 50-EMA which still acts as a resistance. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving downwards which is a sell signal.

Trading recommendations

We preserve a short-term bearish outlook for the EUR/USD pair. If the price breaks the support 1.1000 the instrument will advance towards 1.0900.



Pound

General overview

The pound decreased on Tuesday despite the positive inflation releases in the country.

Current situation

The pound continued to show weakness on Tuesday. Technically, the pair remained in a neutral bearish tone in the 4 hours chart. The current resistance is seen at 1.3300, the support exists at 1.3100.

MACD is in the negative area. The indictor decreased which indicates sellers’ growing strength.
Indicator RSI approached the oversold territory which is a sell signal.

The price bounced from the 100-EMA, broke the 50-EMA and advanced from it in the 4 hours chart. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs direction is downwards.

Trading recommendations

We still remain bearish on the outlook for the currency. If the price makes another attempt to break the level 1.3100 the pound may fall to 1.2700.



Yen

General overview

The dollar became cheaper against the yen as investors began profit raking after the recent rally.

Current situation

The pair traded at fresh 4-week highs near the mark 106.50 on Tuesday. Out technical outlook is bullish. The resistance is at 107.00, the support comes in at 106.00.

MACD remained in the positive territory, however, its histogram decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI is close to the overbought area which is a buy signal.

The price remained above the 50-EMA in the 1 hour chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are still moving upwards which is a buy signal.

Trading recommendations

A solid 106.00 break will signal about a move towards 107.00. Conversely, the USD/JPY may fall back to 104.50.



AUD

General overview

The AUD fell on the news that the regulator may continue its softening policy. The Australian regulator left the door open for the further rate change for August.

Current situation

The Aussie traded weaker on Tuesday after minutes from the RBA. The pair left the ascending channel. The instrument lost about 1.20% during the course of the day. The resistance is at 0.7600, the support comes in at 0.7500.

MACD is in the negative area. Its histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ positions strengthening. Indicator RSI is close to the oversold area.

The 4 hours chart shows that the instrument broke the 50 and 100 EMAs. The 200-EMA stopped its further decrease, the 200-EMA acts as a support for the pair. The 200-EMA direction is horizontal, the 50 and 100 EMAs are turning downwards.

Trading recommendations

The price may bounce from the level 0.7500 (the 200-EMA) towards the mark 0.7550 (the 50-EMA). If the price breaks the level 0.7550 the instrument may return to the growth. Otherwise, the AUD/USD will bounce from the level 0.7550 downwards.



GOLD

General overview

The gold quotes remained unchanged. Investors evaluated chances for the further policy softening by the leading economies.

Current situation

The instrument found a very solid support around 1330 and traded there during the day. The resistance is seen at 1360, the support stands at 1330.

MACD is in the negative area. The histogram grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. Indicator RSI is close to the oversold area.

The price is sandwiched between the 50-EMA and the 100-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages are neutral.

Trading recommendations

The side movement will be continued. The price will remain around the level of 1330.



Brent

General overview

The oil prices were under pressure as the investors’ worries as crude oil and refined products global over-supply resurfaced.

Current situation

The crude oil Brent remained under pressure. The instrument is in a descending channel, the price traded at its lower limit at 46.50. The resistance is at 47.50, the support comes in at 46.50.

MACD indicator is in the negative area. If the histogram remains in the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. RSI is in the neutral territory.

The price remained under the 50-EMA which acts as a resistance in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving downwards in the 4 hours chart.

Trading recommendations

The oil is under pressure. We expect the trades between the levels 47.50 and 46.50.



Nasdaq

General overview

The USA Bonds market got under pressure after weak earnings reports from Netflix Inc (NASDAQ:NFLX).

Current situation

The index decreased on Tuesday. The Nasdaq lost about 0.42% during the course of the trades. Our outlook is still bullish. The resistance is at 4600, the support is seen at 4550.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The indicator still gives a buy signal. RSI is close to the overbought area which is a buy signal.

The price is at the 100-EMA in the 1 hour chart. The instrument is in-between the 50-EMA and the 100-EMA. The 100-EMA broke upwards the 200-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving upwards.

Trading recommendations

If the price fixates above the resistance 4600, it may continue the upward trend in the short term. The potential target is 4650. If the price falls it will get to 4550.



S&P 500

The USA Bonds market decreased when UMF lowered its forecasts regarding the global economy growth. The global markets outlook is uncertain after the Brexit.

Current situation

The S&P500 remained in a narrow side channel which is limited by the marks 2160 and 2150. The price went back and forth in the channel and decreased to its lower limit by the end of the trades. The resistance is at 2165, the support is seen at 2150.

MACD is in the positive area. Its histogram decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The indicator still gives a buy signal. RSI is close to the overbought territory.

The price broke 100-EMA in the 1 hour chart. The 50-EMA acts as a resistance; the 100-EMA is a support. The 100-EMA broke upwards the 200-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages direction is upwards.

Trading recommendations

We believe the price will remain sandwiched between the levels 2165 and 2150.




*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

21.07.2016

Euro

General overview

The main drivers for the dollar were: positive Building Permits and Housing Starts in the USA and Dennis P. Lockhart’s speech (the Fed representative). According to Dennis P. Lockhart the Brexit did not damage much the USA economy. Moreover, the chances that the USA regulator will hike the rate this year keep growing.

Current situation

The EUR/USD remained under pressure. The euro struggled to regain the 1.1000 level but failed. All its attempts to grow were limited by the mark 1.1030. The instrument remained in the descending channel, at its lower limit. The resistance is seen at 1.1050, the support lies at 1.1000.

MACD is in the negative area. The histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ strength. RSI returned to the oversold area, its signal line decreased that also indicates sellers’ strength.

The price is below the bearish 50-EMA which still acts as a resistance in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving downwards which is a sell signal.

Trading recommendations

The pair stopped at the strong support at 1.1000. Should the EUR/USD break the level downwards the pair will decrease to 1.0900.



Pound

General overview

The strong UK employment supported the pound. Unemployment Rate fell, at the same time Claimant Count Change grew.

Current situation

Technically, the pair remained under pressure. The GBP/USD pair bounced form a daily low of 1.3100, supported by a strong UK unemployment report. The instrument grew by 0.45% during the course of the day. The local high is at 1.3226 now. The current resistance is seen at 1.3300, the support exists at 1.3100.

MACD is in the negative area. The indictor grew which indicates sellers’ positions weakening.
RSI bounced from the oversold territory which is a buy signal.

The price grew and stopped at the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA and the 100-EMA are horizontal, the 200-EMA direction is downwards.

Trading recommendations

The pair looks to find a solid support at the current level 1.3100. If the pair breaks the level downwards, the decrease will be continued to 1.2900. Otherwise, we will see a growth towards 1.3300.



Yen

General overview

The yen was able to grow against the other majors. Investors used the yen as a safe asset when Tokyo bonds market weakened after a 6 day rally.

Current situation

Even though the pair grew yesterday its rally seems to run out of steam as the USD/JPY approached a strong resistance at 107.00. The instrument set fresh 4-week highs at the mark 106.85. The resistance is at 107.00, the support comes in at 106.00.

MACD remained in the positive territory, its histogram grew which indicates the buyers’ positions strength. RSI is close to the overbought area which is a buy signal.

The price remained above the bullish 50-EMA in the 1 hour chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are still moving upwards which is a buy signal.

Trading recommendations

The pair USD/JPY approached 107.00. A cut through here will aim it at the 108.00 level. Conversely, the pair may fall back to 104.50.



NZD/USD

General overview

The NZD decreased on the news that the RBNZ will soften its monetary policy next month.

Current situation

The kiwi traded weaker on Wednesday. The pair remained in the descending channel. The kiwi found a support at the level 0.7020. The resistance is at 0.7050, the support comes in at 0.6950.

MACD is in the negative area. Its histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ positions strengthening. Indicator RSI is close to the oversold area which is also a sell signal.

The 4 hours chart shows that the instrument is just below the 200-EMA. The 50-EMA broke the 100-EMA downwards which is a sell signal. The 50 and 100 EMAs are moving downwards, the 200-EMA is horizontal.

Trading recommendations

If the NZD/USD does make a breakout at that level 0.7020 the instrument may decrease to 0.6950. The buyers’ nearest target remains at 0.7100.


GOLD

General overview

The gold futures decreased as the strong dollar undermined the attractiveness of the yellow metal.

Current situation

The gold futures were able to break the level 1330 and decreased towards the next support at 1316. The new local low is at the mark 1312. The pair lost about 1,10% during the course of the trades. The resistance is seen at 1330, the support stands at 1316.

MACD is in the negative area. The histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ positions strength. Indicator RSI is close to the oversold area which is a sell signal.

The price broke downwards the 50 and 100 EMAs in the 4 hours chart. Now the price is in-between the 100-EMA and the 200-EMA. The 50-EMA is moving downwards, the 100 and 200 EMAs are horizontal.

Trading recommendations

The pair left behind another support on its way down. The nearest sellers’ target remains at the level 1309. The price may rebound from the level 1308 (the 200 EMA) and may return to the growth.



Brent

General overview

The Brent got support from the Weekly Crude Oil Stock report in the USA. The USA Oil Stocks have been decreasing the nine week in a line.

Current situation

The crude oil Brent remained in the descending channel, the price approached its upper limit. The Brent has been in a downtrend channel since mid-June. The resistance is at 47.50, the support comes in at 46.50.

MACD indicator is in the negative area. MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. RSI is in the neutral territory.

The price broke the 50-EMA upwards in the 4 hours chart. However, the price did not hold there and drop below of it. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving downwards in the 4 hours chart.

Trading recommendations

We preserve a bearish outlook for the Brent. We expect the trades between the levels 47.50 and 46.50.



Dax

General overview

The Germany Bonds Market strengthened on Wednesday. The software, basic resources and technology sectors grew most of all. The leaders of growth among DAX 30 were the shares of Volkswagen which rose by 6.01%.

Current situation

The index closed bullish on Wednesday. DAX was able to gain about 1,62%. The session high is marked at 10135. The price approached the level it was not able to break two days ago. The resistance is at 10175, the support is seen at 1000.

MACD grew which indicates the buyers’ strength. The indicator gives a buy signal. RSI is close to the overbought area which is a buy signal.

The price broke the 50 and 100 EMAs in the 1 hour chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving upwards.

Trading recommendations

The mark 10135 seems to be a solid resistance for the index. We assume it will bounce downwards back to 1000. Alternatively, the quotes will grow to 10175.



S&P 500

General overview

The USA Bonds market traded higher on Wednesday. In the lack of any statistics and other drivers the positive corporate earnings supported S&P500.

Current situation

The S&P500 left its side channel and was able to set a daily high at 2169. The resistance is at 2180, the support is seen at 2165.

MACD is in the positive area. Its histogram grew which indicates the buyers’ positions strength. The indicator still gives a buy signal. RSI is close to the overbought territory which is also a buy signal.

The 100-EMA rejected the price upwards in the 1 hour chart. The SP500 broke the 50-EMA and advanced north from the moving averages. The moving averages direction is upwards.

Trading recommendations

We believe the price will grow to 2180 after a rebound to 2150.




*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

22.07.2016

Euro

General overview

The ECB left its interest rates unchanged. According to Mario Draghi he expects the Eurozone economy recover in a moderate pace. Mario Draghi stressed that Brexit had a little effect to the inflation outlook in the Eurozone. The USA published the positive Initial Jobless Claims report.

Current situation

The EUR/USD remained under pressure yesterday. The ECB’s news triggered a sharp short-term rally that boosted the euro to 1.1060. However, the rally faded and sellers returned to the market. The EUR/USD closed the day bearish. The resistance is seen at 1.1050, the support lies at 1.1000.

MACD is in the negative area. The histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ strength. RSI returned to the oversold area, its signal line decreased that also indicates sellers’ strength.

The price is below the bearish 50-EMA which still acts as a resistance in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving downwards which is a sell signal.

Trading recommendations

The pair is threatening to break below the psychological support at 1.1000 now. A cut through here will aim it at the 1.0950 level.



Pound

General overview

The recent rally in the pair GBP/USD was supported by the positive unemployment data. However, yesterday’s retail sales report undermined the overall positive outlook. Today we expect a number of PMI releases.

Current situation

The disappointing UK retail sales data weighed the pound which fell from the local highs. The pair settled above the 1.3100 level by the end of the trades. The current resistance is seen at 1.3300, the support exists at 1.3100.

MACD indicator is at the centerline. If the histogram enters the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. RSI is in the neutral territory.

The instrument remains in-between the 50-EMA and the 100-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) direction is downwards.

Trading recommendations

The pair may resume its downtrend if it breaks the mark 1.3100. Alternatively, the pair GBP/USD will rally towards 1.3350.



Yen

General overview

The yen fell on the news that the Shinzō Abe may increase the quantity of the fiscal stimulus measures.

Current situation

The pair dipped into a negative territory. The USD/JPY left behind the levels 107.00 and 106.00 and approached 105.30. The pair lost about 0.98% during the course of the day. The resistance is at 106.00, the support comes in at 105.30.

MACD remained in the positive territory. MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI bounced from the overbought area which is a sell signal.

The instrument broke the 50-EMA and 100-EMA in the 1 hour chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are turning downwards.

Trading recommendations

The pair now seems to be heading towards its immediate support near 105.30. A break below the level would open the way to 104.50.



AUD/USD

General overview

Reserve Bank of Australia left its rate unchanged this week. The RBA left the door open for the rate change for August.

Current situation

The instrument went back and forth during the course of the session on Thursday. The AUD has found a descent resistance around 0.7500. All its attempts to grow were rejected by the level. The resistance is at 0.7500, the support comes in at 0.7400.

MACD is in the negative area. MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. Indicator RSI is close to the oversold area which is a sell signal.

The 4 hours chart shows that the instrument is just below the 100-EMA. The 50-EMA and the 100-EMA are turning down which is a sell signal. The 200-EMA is neutral.

Trading recommendations

If the pair manages to make a breakout of 0.7500 upwards the AUD/USD may hit 0.7550 -0.7600 area. To trigger additional downward momentum the AUD needs to break 0.7465 (the 200-EMA).



GOLD

General overview

The gold became cheaper on the back of the dollar strengthening. The real estate market supported the dollar.

Current situation

The instrument finished the day bullish. The pair was able to recover and gained about 0.82% by the end of the trades. The gold stopped at the current resistance which is seen at 1330, the support stands at 1316.

MACD is in the negative area. The histogram grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. Indicator RSI bounced from the oversold area.

The price broke upwards the 50 and 100 EMAs in the 4 hours chart. Now the price is above the 50-EMA which is heading to penetrate the 100-EMA downwards.

Trading recommendations

The XAU/USD rebounded from the level 1308 (the 200 EMA) and grew to the current resistance at 1330. A cut through here will turn our attention to the 1360 level.



Brent

General overview

The oil inventory decreased in the USA which actually was welcome news for the price. Today we expect Oil Rig Count report which can boost the price.

Current situation

Technically, a bearish tone persists. The crude oil remained in the descending channel, the price returned to its lower limit. The Brent futures dipped from 47.50 to 46.50. The instrument lost about 1.50% during the course of the trades. The resistance is at 47.50, the support comes in at 46.50.

MACD indicator is in the negative area. MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. RSI is in the neutral territory.

The price broke the 50-EMA upwards in the 4 hours chart. However, the price did not hold there and drop below of it. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving downwards in the 4 hours chart.

Trading recommendations

The tone is still negative in the market. The level 46.50 limits all sellers attempts to go further. A break below this mark risks a decline towards the support at 45.30



NASDAQ

Current situation

The instrument was in a sell mode yesterday. The index decreased from the all-time highs to the mark 4637. The resistance is at 4650, the support is seen at 4600.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI left the overbought area which is a sell signal.

The price snapped the 50-EMA in the 1 hour chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving upwards.

Trading recommendations

The NASDAQ is overbought. The most likely scenario involves a move towards 4600.



S&P 500

Current situation

Technically, a bullish tone persists in the market, however, the index had a negative day on Thursdays. The S&P500 left its daily high at 2169 and fell by 0.42%. The resistance is at 2165, the support is seen at 2150.

MACD is in the positive territory. Its histogram decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI left the overbought area which is a sell signal.

The price is approaching the bullish 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) direction is upwards. The SP500 broke the 50 and 100 EMAs in the 1 hour chart and is approaching the 200-EMA.


Trading recommendations

We still believe in a growth. The price is overbought and we expect a short-term pull back. Now we are waiting for a bullish signal to buy the S&P500.




*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

25.07.2016

Euro

General overview

The USA Manufacturing PMI was the main point of focus last Friday. The positive release supported the dollar.

Current situation

The tone is still negative in the market. The EUR/USD had a sharp drop below the support level of 1.1000. The new local low is at 1.0955. The resistance is seen at 1.1000, the support lies at 1.0900.

MACD is in the negative area. The histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ strength. RSI returned to the oversold area, its signal line decreased that also indicates sellers’ strength.

The price bounced downwards from the bearish 50-EMA which still acts as a resistance in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving downwards which is a sell signal.

The instrument almost reached the 200-EMA which rejected it downwards in the 1 hour chart. The pair broke the 50-EMA and the 100-EMA and moved downwards from them.

Trading recommendations

The bearish views are getting more popular now. The price is likely to go to the support level of 1.0900.



Pound

General overview

The pound fell on the back of weak economical releases which added concerns over the British economy outlook after the Brexit.

Current situation

The GBP/USD faced further downside pressure. According to the 4 hours chart the cable traded sideways. The sellers managed to lead the price from 1.3300 to 1.3100. The daily and weekly technical studies remain bearish. The current resistance is seen at 1.3300, the support exists at 1.3100.

MACD indicator decreased. If the histogram enters the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. RSI is approaching the oversold territory which is a sell signal.

The instrument fell below the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 100 and 200 EMAs direction is downwards, the 50-EMA is horizontal.

Trading recommendations

If the price fixates below the support 1.3100, it may continue the downward trend in the short term. The potential target is 1.2900.



Yen

General overview

The yen weakened after Haruhiko Kuroda's speech (the BoJ governor). Haruhiko Kuroda denied speculations that Japan may be preparing "helicopter money" for economic stimulus.

Current situation

The short-term picture is quite mixed. The USD/JPY traded in a flat and went back and forth within a range 105.50 – 106.35. The resistance is at 107.00, the support comes in at 106.00.

MACD remained in the positive territory. MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI is in the neutral territory.

The instrument snapped the 100-EMA and bounced upwards above the 50-EMA in the 1 hour chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are turning downwards.

Trading recommendations

We may expect the consolidation around the level of 106.00.



USD/CAD

General overview

The Canadian economical growth will be supported by the government fiscal stimulus program. The program shall support the Canadian dollar. However, the low oil prices may limit its growth.

Current situation

The pair closed bullish on Friday. The USA dollar continued moving higher on the back of the positive USA statistics. The instrument was able to set a new local high at 1.3185. The resistance is at 1.3200, the support comes in at 1.3100.

MACD is in the positive area. MACD grew which indicates the buyers’ positions strengthening. Oscillator RSI is close to the overbought area which is a buy signal.

The 4 hours chart shows that the instrument is growing above the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs. The pair bounced upwards from the 50-EMA in the 1 hour chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving upwards.

Trading recommendations

From a technical perspective we see a growth continuation. As long as market holding above 1.3100 the uptrend pressure will continue toward 1.3200.



GOLD

General overview

The gold became cheapen last Friday. The metal is under pressure due to the possible rate hike in the USA.

Current situation

The instrument finished the day bearish. Its rally was stopped at the level 1330 which rejected the price downwards. The price remained in a sideway channel. The resistance is seen at 1330, the support stands at 1316.

MACD is in the negative area. The histogram grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. Indicator RSI is in the neutral area.

The price broke the 50 and 100 EMAs downwards in the 4 hours chart. Now the price is below the 100-EMA. The 50 and 100 EMAs are moving downwards, the 200-EMA is neutral.

Trading recommendations

The price may continue the side trades between the levels 1330 and 1316. Alternatively, an uptrend will start as soon, as the pair rises above 1330.



Brent

General overview

The Brent is under pressure as investors are concerned over the existing oil oversupply in the world markets.

Current situation

Technically, the tone is still negative in the market. The Brent futures continued to grind lower and touched 45.30. The resistance is at 46.50, the support comes in at 45.30.

MACD indicator is in the negative area. MACD decreased which indicates the sellers’ positions strengthening. RSI approached the undervalued area which is a sell signal.

The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving downwards in the 4 hours chart.

Trading recommendations

The tone is still negative in the market. To trigger additional downward momentum towards 44.00 the price needs to break the current support. A break above 46.50 would open the way to 47.50.



DAX

General overview

The Germany Bonds market showed mix dynamics last Friday. The shares of Vonovia SE were the leaders among the DAX30 components. Its shares gained 1.14%.

Current situation

The index closed bullish on Friday. The instrument spent the last day of the week below 10175. All its attempts to grow further were limited by the level. The resistance is at 10175, the support exists at 10000.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI is close to the overbought area which is a buy signal for now.

The bullish 50-EMA broke the 100 and 200 EMAs upwards in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving upwards.

Trading recommendations

We believe the index will trade sideways on Monday. The instrument might move back and forth in a narrow side range between 10080 and 10175.



S&P 500

General overview

The S&P 500 index is strong due to the positive corporative earnings reports. However, Intel and GE negative reports worsened its positive dynamics.

Current situation

The index refreshed the all-time high at 2170. The instrument closed the Friday in a green territory. The overall tone is bullish. The resistance is seen at 2180, the support is at 2165.

MACD is in the positive territory. Its histogram decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI is close to the overvalued territory which is a buy signal.

The price bounced from the bullish 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) direction is upwards.

Trading recommendations

Technically, a bullish tone persists in the market. All our eyes are on the level 2170. If the index SP500 manages to break it the further uptrend will be continued to 2180.





*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

26.07.2016

Euro

General overview

The euro remained almost unchanged on Monday. The single currency is close to the monthly lows against the dollar in spite of the positive German statistics. The USA dollar is supported by the upcoming Fed meeting.

Current situation

We remain bearish on EUR/USD’s prospects. The euro began the week with small gains, however, it failed to regain the 1.1000 level and fell from the daily highs. The EUR/USD has been in a bearish trend for 3 weeks on the daily chart. The 4 hours chart is neutral. The resistance is seen at 1.1000, the support stands at 1.0900.

MACD is in the negative area. The histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ strength. RSI returned to the oversold area, its signal line decreased that also indicates sellers’ strength.

The trading instrument made an attempt to break the 50-EMA in the 1 hour chart, but failed and was rejected downwards. The price is below the bearish 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving downwards which is a sell signal.

Trading recommendations

The euro continued moving lower yesterday. We expect a near-term drop to test the 1.0900 support.



Pound

General overview

The USA dollar remained unchanged due to the moderate risk appetite. The optimistic USA statistics together with weakness of the pound supported the dollar.

Current situation

The GBP remained unchanged at the start of the new week. The pound is still under pressure. The currency tested the lower bound of its descending channel yesterday. The current resistance is seen at 1.3300, the support exists at 1.3100.

MACD is in the negative territory, the indicator is close to the centerline. If the histogram remains in the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the positive area the buyers will have the ball. RSI is approaching the oversold territory which is a sell signal.

The instrument remained below the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 100 and 200 EMAs direction is downwards, the 50-EMA is horizontal.

Trading recommendations

In the potential scenario, the next stop for the GBP/USD could well be around 1.2900. If the price fixates above the resistance 1.3300, it may show a short term upward movement to 1.3500.



Yen

General overview

The USA dollar and the Japanese yen were stable on the Monday’s trades. Investors prefer wait and see position before the Fed and BoJ’s meetings.

Current situation

The yen was almost unchanged in the Monday session; however, the bearish views are getting more popular. The pair remained at the current support at 106.00. The resistance is at 107.00, the support comes in at 106.00.

MACD remained in the positive territory. MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI is in the neutral territory.

The instrument broke the 50-EMA and stopped at the 100-EMA in the 1 hour chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are still heading north. The USD/JPY is above the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages direction is upwards.

Trading recommendations

Buyers seem to have run out of steam. Bears may take control of the flows soon. A downtrend will start as soon, as the USD/JPY pair drops below the support level 105.30. In the scenario where the buyers keep control the pair may grow to 107.00 and then further to 108.00.



AUD/USD

General overview

The dollar was neutral, the US currency remained at the 4 month peaks against the other majors. The upcoming Fed meeting and the possibility of the rate hike in 2016 support the dollar.

Current situation

The pair AUD/USD traded inside its descending channel. The AUD started the week with a recovery and was able to grow by the psychologically important 0.7500 mark. However, the pair failed to regain the level and fell. The session low was marked at 0.7454. The resistance is at 0.7500, the support comes in at 0.7400.

MACD is in the negative area. MACD decreased which indicates the sellers’ positions strengthening. Oscillator RSI is close to the overbought area which is a buy signal.

The price rebounded from the 100-EMA and stopped at the 200-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA is breaking the 100-EMA at the same chart, both lines are moving downwards.

Trading recommendations

The potential decrease target is the support level of 0.7400.



GOLD

General overview

The gold futures decreased on Monday. The yellow metal is close to the 3-week lows. The dollar is supported by the upcoming Fed meeting.

Current situation

The overall outlook remained the same. The XAU/USD is still under pressure. However, the gold managed to recover yesterday and gained about 0.30% during the day. The resistance is seen at 1330, the support stands at 1316.

MACD is in the negative area. The histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ positions strengthening. Indicator RSI is in the neutral area.

The price broke the 50 and 100 EMAs downwards in the 4 hours chart. Now the price is in-between the 100-EMA and the 200-EMA. The 50 and 100 EMAs are moving downwards, the 200-EMA is neutral.

Trading recommendations

Technically, a bearish tone persists in the market. If the XAU/USD does make a breakout at that level 1310 the yellow metal will decrease to 1300.



Brent

General overview

The Brent decreased and refreshed the 2-month lows on the back of the cautions regarding the oil oversupply in the market.

Current situation

The Brent traded lower yesterday. The crude oil futures lost about 2.00% during the trades of the day. Sellers led the price from the mark 45.85 to 44.52. The resistance is at 45.30, the support comes in at 44.00.

MACD indicator is in the negative area. MACD decreased which indicates the sellers’ positions strengthening. RSI approached the undervalued area which is a sell signal.

The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are moving downwards in the 4 hours chart.

Trading recommendations

After the support level of 44.00 breakthrough down the way to the support 42.80 will be opened.



NASDAQ

General overview

The USA Bonds market decreased on Monday. Investors are getting ready for the new earning reports and the Fed meeting.

Current situation

The index was neutral on Monday. NASDAQ spent the day at the current support level 4650. The resistance is at 4700, the support stands at 4650.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI bounced from to the overbought area which is a sell signal.

The index failed to regain the 50-EMA and stopped at it in the 1 hour chart. The 50-EMA is horizontal, the 100 and 200 EMAs are moving upwards.

Trading recommendations

If the price fixates below the support 4650, it may continue the downward trend in the short term. The potential target is 4600.



S&P 500

General overview

All ten of S&P500 components went into the red territory. The energy companies were the leaders of the decrease.

Current situation

The tone became negative in the market. Bears are gradually gaining more overall control. The index decreased and lost about 0.36% by the end of the trades. The resistance is seen at 2165, the support is at 2150.

MACD is in the positive territory. Its histogram decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI left the overvalued territory which is a sell signal.

The index broke downwards the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs in the 1 hours chart. After the break the instrument reversed some losses and returned to the 200-EMA. The moving averages are turning down.

The price fell and stopped at the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) direction is still upwards.

Trading recommendations

We expect the 2150 line break that will open the way for the sellers to 2140.




*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

27.07.2016

Euro

General overview

The dollar reversed its losses against the majors getting support from positive New Home Sales release.

Current situation

The euro continued moving lower and remained inside the bearish channel. The session low was marked at 1.0977. Now the EUR/USD is approaching the local support level of 1.0950. The resistance is seen at 1.1000, the support stands at 1.0900.

MACD is in the negative area. The histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ strength. RSI is neutral.

The trading instrument broke the 50 and 100 Day EMAs and was rejected downwards by the 200-EMA in the 1 hour chart. The price returned below the 100-EMA and remained there. Now the price is sandwiched between the 50 and 100 Day EMAs in the 1 hour chart. The Moving Averages are trending downwards which is a sell signal.

Trading recommendations

As long as market is below 1.1000 the pair will tend to move towards 1.0900.



Pound

General overview

The pound got under pressure due to the revived expectations that the BoE would lower the rate in August.

Current situation

The pound was neutral yesterday. The trading instrument remained at the support 1.3100, going back and forth during the course of the day. The current resistance is seen at 1.3300, the support exists at 1.3100.

MACD is in the negative territory, the indicator is close to the centerline. If the histogram remains in the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ strength. If MACD returns into the positive area the buyers will have the ball. RSI is neutral.

The 50, 100 and 200 Day EMAs are trending downwards, forming a bearish cross over in the 1 hour chart. The instrument remained below the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 100 and 200 EMAs direction is downwards, the 50-EMA is horizontal.

Trading recommendations

In the event that sellers manage to force the pair below 1.3100 the GBP/USD will decrease towards 1.2900. Alternatively, the Sterling will grow to 1.3300.



Yen

General overview

The yen grew when Japanese monetary and fiscal easing plans disappointed investors’ expectations. The BoJ will use 6 trillion yen for the fiscal stimulus against the expected 10 to 20 trillion yen.

Current situation

Bears have the ball now. Traders pushed the dollar lower from 3-week highs yesterday. The instrument lost about 1% during the course of the day. The resistance is at 105.30, the support comes in at 104.50.

MACD moved into the negative territory which indicates the sellers’ positions strengthening. RSI reached the oversold area which is another sell signal.

The instrument broke the 50, 100 and 200 Day-EMAs in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are changing their upwards direction to the downward one.

Trading recommendations

The bearish views are getting more popular, moreover, the indicators recommend short positions. The price is expected to resume its falling towards 103.50.



NZD/USD

General overview

The New Zealand dollar grew on the news that Trade Balance decreased in the country in June.

Current situation

The pair gapped upwards and rallied towards the resistance at 0.7050. After breaking the level the bullish spike faded and the NZD/USD dropped back below the level 0.7050. Bears are gradually gaining more overall control. The resistance is at 0.7050, the support comes in at 0.6950.

MACD indicator is at the centerline. If the histogram returns into the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD gets into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. Oscillator RSI bounced downwards from the overbought area which is a sell signal.

The NZD was able to break the 50, 100 and 200 Day EMAS in the 4 hours chart. However, the quotes did not advance further and the 100-EMA rejected the pair downwards. The moving averages are moving downwards with a bearish cross over between the 50-EMA and the 100 and 200 EMAs.

Trading recommendations

Technically, a bearish tone persists in the market. We believe the downtrend will continue. The next sellers' stop could well be at the mark 0.6980.



GOLD

General overview

The gold decreased as traders prefer wait and see mode before the Fed’s meeting is over.

Current situation

The overall outlook remained bearish. The XAU/USD was in a flat, the price moved back and forth within a sideway: 1323 – 1314. The resistance is seen at 1330, the support stands at 1316.

MACD is in the negative area. The histogram grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. Indicator RSI is in the neutral area.

Technically, the 1 hour chart shows that the instrument grew and broke through the 50 and 100 EMAs, but failed to move further the 200-EMA where the price bounced downwards. The 50, 100 and 200 Day EMAs are moving downwards.

Trading recommendations

We believe the growth will be continued now. The first target is the level 1330. We do not exclude the falls to 1310.



Brent

General overview

The Brent decreased as traders are worried that ongoing oversupply will drag the price lower.

Current situation

Sellers took control of the flows, the Brent closed bearish yesterday. The sellers managed to lead the quotes from 44.90 to 44.15 dollars per barrel where the trading instrument found a support around 44.00. The resistance is at 45.30, the support comes in at 44.00 dollars per barrel.

Indicators generate a sell signal. MACD indicator is in the negative area. MACD decreased which indicates the sellers’ positions strengthening. RSI approached the undervalued area which is another sell signal.

The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are trending downwards in the 4 hours chart.

Trading recommendations

The upward bounce potential targets are 45.30, 46.50. If the price falls it will get to 44.00 dollars per barrel.



DAX

General overview

The European Bonds Market showed low volatile trades. Traders waited for the Fed's meeting result which can change the current market dynamics.

Current situation

The index had a positive day on Thursday. The DAX gapped upwards and then rallied. The session high was marked at 10269. We believe that this is essentially a “buy only” market at the moment. The resistance is at 10350, the support stands at 10175.

The indicators recommend long positions. MACD is in the positive area. The histogram grew which indicates the buyers’ strength. RSI is close to the overbought area which is a buy signal.

The index bounced from the 50-EMA and grew in the 1 hour chart. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs are moving upwards in the 1 hour chart.

Trading recommendations

If the price fixates above the resistance 10350, it may continue the upward trend in the short term. The potential target is 10520. The potential downward rebound target is the support level of 10175.



S&P 500

General overview

The Bonds Markets in the USA showed a mixed trading sentiment on Thursday. Investors evaluated corporate earning reports and prepared themselves for the Fed's meeting results.

Current situation

The index seems to have changed its sentiment from a positive to a negative one. Bears are gradually gaining more control, the quotes get under pressure more often. The resistance is seen at 2165, the support is at 2150.

MACD is in the positive territory. Its histogram decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI left the overvalued territory which is a sell signal. RSI is in the neutral territory now.

The trading instrument got under the 50 and 100 EMAs in the 1 hour chart. The price is sandwiched between the 50 and 100 EMAs on one hand and the 200-EMA on the other. The S&P500 is at the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages direction is upwards.

Trading recommendations

After the support level of 2150 breakthrough down the way to the support 2140 will be opened.



*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

28.07.2016

Euro

General overview

The dollar attracted everyone’s attention yesterday in light of the Fed meeting. The USA regulator left its rate unchanged.

Current situation

The pair presented a modest bearish tone during the day. The trading instrument spent the day at the level 1.1000. However, the pair grew after the Fed meeting results announcement. The resistance is seen at 1.1030, the support stands at 1.1050.

MACD indicator is close to the centerline. If the histogram enters the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the negative area the sellers will return control over the market. RSI grew to the overbought level.

The 1 hour chart showed that the price broke the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs are turning upwards.

Trading recommendations

The overall outlook remains bearish. However, the pair resumed its growth. If the EUR/USD keeps growing the level 1.1130 will be reached soon.



Pound

General overview

The pound decreased on Wednesday in spite of positive GDP for the 2nd quarter. However, the British currency got a moderate support at the American session on the back of the news from the USA.

Current situation

The pound was neutral most of Wednesday. The trading instrument remained at the support 1.3100, going back and forth during the course of the day. The pound got a moderate support after the Fed decision to leave the rates unchanged. The current resistance is seen at 1.3300, the support exists at 1.3100.

MACD is in the negative territory, the indicator is close to the centerline. If the histogram remains in the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ strength. If MACD returns into the positive area the buyers will have the ball. RSI is neutral.

The 50, 100 and 200 Day EMAs are trending downwards, forming a bearish cross over in the 1 hour chart. The instrument broke the 50, 100 and 200 Day EMAs and advanced north in the 1 hour chart.

Trading recommendations

The trend is objectively bearish. The pair is under the risk of falling under the level of 1.3100. Alternatively, the GBP/USD will grow to 1.3300.



Yen

General overview

The yen fell amid stimulus package details. BoJ plans to implement a package of 28 trillion yen to boost the economy up.

Current situation

The dollar reversed some of its losses during the Wednesday trades. Buyers led the price from the mark 103.94 to 106.56. The bulls failed to regain the 106.00 level and the price returned below of it. The pair closed bearish yesterday. The resistance is at 105.30, the support comes in at 104.50.

MACD remained in the negative territory. MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. RSI returned to the oversold area which is a sell signal.

The instrument tested the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are changing their upward direction to the downward one.

Trading recommendations

The tone is still negative in the market. The USD/JPY pair needs to break the level 104.50 to resume a downward momentum towards 103.50.



USD/CAD

General overview

The USD/CAD outlook was neutral during the day as the pair waited for the Fed policy statements. In addition, lower oil prices weighed on the CAD.

Current situation

The instrument traded near 4-month highs during the day. The pair made an attempt to resume its growth after a correctional decline. The instrument grew from 1.3156 and gained about 0.18% by the end of the day. However, the Fed decision to leave the rates unchanged weighed on the Canadian dollar which fell against its American counterpart. The resistance is at 1.3300, the support comes in at 1.3200.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The indicator still gives a buy signal. Oscillator RSI bounced downwards from the overbought area which is a sell signal.

Technically, the 1 hour chart showed that the pair traded close to the 50-EMA during the day. However, the price broke the line and decreased on the back of the Fed decision. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs are moving upwards in the 1 hour chart.

Trading recommendations

Even though the tone is still positive the pair may develop a downward correction towards the support 1.3100.



GOLD

General overview

The gold strengthened when the dollar got under pressure in the USD/JPY after Abe Sindzó’s comments regarding the fiscal stimulus implementation next week. The Fed decision regarding the rates and the regulators’ comments supported the yellow metal by the end of the day.

Current situation

Technically, the main trend is up. Traders pushed the gold higher yesterday; the session high was marked at 1340. The resistance is seen at 1360, the support stands at 1330.

MACD indicator is at the centerline. If the histogram enters the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ positions strength. If MACD returns into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market. Indicator RSI grew to the overbought area.

Technically, the 1 hour chart shows that the instrument grew and broke through the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs. The 50, 100 and 200 Day EMAs are turning upwards.

Trading recommendations

We believe the gold will grow towards the resistance 1360.



Brent

General overview

The Brent remained under pressure amid oversupply and weak demand. Moreover, the Brent decreased on the back of the crude oil inventories growth. The inventories have grown the first time in 10 weeks.

Current situation

Bears have the ball and control the market now. The instrument had a sharp drop below the support level of 44.00. The Brent lost about 2.95% during the course of the day. The resistance is at 44.00, the support comes in at 42.80 dollars per barrel.

Indicators generate a sell signal. MACD indicator is in the negative area. MACD decreased which indicates the sellers’ positions strengthening. RSI approached the undervalued area which is another sell signal.

The price grew to the 50-EMA and bounced downwards from it in the 1 hour chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are trending downwards in the 4 hours chart.

Trading recommendations

The more oil falls the more attractive it becomes for buying. The price may extend its decrease towards the 42.00 region.



NASDAQ

General overview

The Bonds Market in the USA showed mixed dynamics on the back of the positive corporative Apple reports on the one hand and Fed meeting results on the other.

Current situation

The index looks bullish. The Nasdaq grew and set a new high at 4713. The resistance is at 4700, the support stands at 4650.

The indicators recommend long positions. MACD is in the positive area. The histogram grew which indicates the buyers’ positions strength. RSI entered the overbought area which is a buy signal.

The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs are moving upwards in the 4 hours chart.

Trading recommendations

The overall outlook remained bullish. Nasdaq may resume its growth as the Fed left its rate unchanged which is welcome news for the dollar.



S&P 500

Current situation

The index seems to have returned to the positive sentiment. The index was falling the whole day, but reversed after the Fed statements. The index grew from the lowest mark at 2152 and closed the day at 2165. The resistance is seen at 2165, the support is at 2150.

MACD is in the positive territory. Its histogram decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI left the overvalued territory which is a sell signal. RSI is in the neutral territory now.

The trading instrument broke under the 50 and 100 EMAs for a while and returned above the moving averages in the 1 hour chart. The S&P500 broke the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages direction is upwards.

Trading recommendations

We expect the index to resume its growth. The level 2182 is the buyers’ target.




*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

29.07.2016

Euro

General overview

The euro grew to the 2-week highs against the dollar on the back of positive statistics from Germany and Italy. The Fed decision keeps weighing on the dollar.

Current situation

The pair presented a modest bearish tone. The instrument grew to the 1.1130 region where the pair sold off. The EUR/USD closed bearish yesterday. The resistance is seen at 1.1130, the support stands at 1.1050.

MACD is in the positive area. The histogram grew which indicates the buyers’ strength. RSI grew to the overbought level.

The price broke upwards the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs in the 4 hours chart. However, the EUR/USD was not able to hold there and returned below the 200-EMA.

Trading recommendations

The EUR/USD pair is under pressure. If the pressure persists the price will resume the downward movement. In the scenario where sellers return to the market the euro falls to 1.1000.



Pound

General overview

The dollar is under pressure after the weak Initial Jobless Claims report and the Fed decision to keep the rate unchanged.

Current situation

The growth was stopped at the mark 1.3247 where the pair reversed downwards and showed a negative dynamics. The instrument closed the day in the red zone. The current resistance is seen at 1.3300, the support exists at 1.3100.

MACD indicator is at the centerline. If the histogram enters the negative territory, that will indicate sellers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the positive area the buyers will take control over the market. RSI is still neutral.

The price showed a short-lived growth above the 50 and 100 EMAs. After reaching the mark 1.3242 the pair fall and returned between the 50 and 100 Day EMAs.

Trading recommendations

The trend is still bearish. The GBP/USD next stop could well be at the 1.2900 region.



Yen

General overview

The yen strengthened against the dollar before the BoJ meeting on Friday. The market expected the regulator will soften its policy.

Current situation

The pair was in a flat close to the level 104.50 during the day. The price resumed its growth at the American session and reached the level 105.30. The resistance is at 105.30, the support comes in at 104.50.

The indicators MACD and RSI still generate sell signal.

The instrument grew from the 100-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The price broke the 50 and 200 EMAs on its way. The USD/JPY closed the day above the moving averages which are neutral.

Trading recommendations

We believe the growth will be continued now. The first target is the level 105.30. We do not exclude the falls to 103.50.



AUD/USD

General overview

The dollar is under pressure after the Fed decision to keep the rate unchanged. The markets did not get a solid confirmation that the regulator will change the rate in September.

Current situation

The instrument decreased from the daily high at 0.7550. The pair tested the level 0.7500 and closed the day bearish. The resistance is at 0.7600, the support comes in at 0.7500.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI advanced south from the overbought area which is a sell signal.

Technically, the price is approaching the 50 and 100 Day EMAs in the 4 hour chart. The moving averages 50, 100 and 200 are neutral.

Trading recommendations

If the pair makes a breakout of 0.7500 and consolidates below the downward trend will be continued. The sellers’ next target is the support 0.7400.



GOLD

General overview

The gold strengthened when the markets did not get any clue when the Fed will hike the rate.

Current situation

The gold spent the day in a flat close to the daily highs at 1345. The pair resumed its fall at the American session where the price decreased to the 1330 region. The resistance is seen at 1360, the support stands at 1330.

MACD is in the positive area. The histogram grew which indicates the buyers’ growing strength. Indicator RSI bounced from the overbought area.

Technically, the instrument is above the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs in the 4 hours chart. The 50, 100 and 200 Day EMAs are turning upwards.

Trading recommendations

To trigger additional upward momentum the XAU/USD needs to consolidate over the local high at 1345. In this scenario the buyers shall lead the price towards 1360.



Brent

General overview

The Brent failed to recover and resumed its decrease amid growing fears regarding the oversupply growth.

Current situation

The tone is still negative in the market, the Brent futures faced further downside pressure. The price decreased and lost about 1.53% during the course of the day. The resistance is at 44.00, the support comes in at 42.80 dollars per barrel.

Indicators generate a sell signal. MACD decreased which indicates the sellers’ positions strengthening. RSI is in the oversold area which is a sell signal.

The price was moving from the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs the 4 hours chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are trending downwards.

Trading recommendations

Sellers still control the market. We expect the price to fall further towards 41.40.



DAX30

General overview

The DAX showed mixed trading dynamics as investors evaluated the corporate reports for the last quarter.

Current situation

The overall outlook remained bullish, the DAX resumed its growth after a short consolidation below 10350. The resistance is at 10350, the support stands at 10175.

The indicators recommend long positions. MACD is in the positive area. The histogram grew which indicates the buyers’ positions strength. RSI entered the overbought area which is a buy signal.

The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs are moving upwards in the 4 hours chart.

Trading recommendations

We are short term bullish. A break above the current resistance at 10350 will aim the price at the 10520 level.



S&P 500

General overview

The S&P500 fell on Thursday on the back of Ford shares decrease. The Ford shares fell amid the weak corporate report.

Current situation

The index showed mixed dynamics. S&P500 was decreasing the first part of the day and grew the second one. The trading instrument closed the day bullish. The resistance is seen at 2165, the support is at 2150.

MACD indicator is at the centerline. If the histogram enters the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market. RSI is neutral.

The trading instrument broke under the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs for a while and returned above the moving averages in the 1 hour chart. The moving averages form a narrow channel.

Trading recommendations

The upward bounce potential targets are 2165 and 2180. If the price falls it will get to 2150.





*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

01.08.2016


Euro

General overview

The euro strengthened against the dollar after better-than-expected Eurozone GDP data. The Fed hawkish announcements without any clues over the date of a possible rate hike weighed the dollar as well.

Current situation

The pair had a positive day on Friday. The instrument jumped to its highest mark and set a new 5-week high around the 1.1200 level. The euro gained about 0.80% during the course of the day. The resistance is seen at 1.1200, the support stands at 1.1130.

According to the indicators bulls have the ball now. MACD is in the positive area. The histogram grew which indicates the buyers’ strength. RSI entered the overbought level.

The 4 hours chart shows that the price broke the 200-EMA which was its last obstacle on its way up. Now the price is heading higher in the 1.1200 region.

Trading recommendations

The market looks like it could pull back a little. The price might return to the 1.1100 region (200-EMA ) where we recommend to buy. In this scenario, the levels 1.1130 and 1.1200 are the possible targets.



Pound

General overview

The pound grew on the back of the positive data. The Fed decision over the rate hike together with worse-than-expected Q2 GDP data pressured the dollar.

Current situation

The pound rallied to a fresh 11-day high when the dollar was hurt by a worse than expected US GDP. The trading instrument gained more than 130 pips and set a new high at the mark 1.3300. This is the highest level since July 18th. The current resistance is seen at 1.3300, the support exists at 1.3100.

MACD is in the positive area. The histogram grew which indicates the buyers’ strength. RSI is heading to the overbought territory which is a buy signal.

The price broke the 100-EMA and stayed over it in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages lines with periods 50, 100 and 200 are trending downwards.

Trading recommendations

The GBP/USD has all chances to grow on the back of a weak dollar. The level 1.3300 is the first buyers’ target.



Yen

General overview

The yen strengthened when the BoJ increased its purchases of ETFs (exchange-traded funds). However, the BoJ’s statements disappointed investors who expected bolder measures from the regulator.

Current situation

The yen took control of the flows. The pair decreased and set the lowest level since July 11th. The resistance is at 103.50, the support comes in at 102.50.

The indicators MACD and RSI still generate sell signal. MACD decreased which indicates the sellers’ strength. RSI entered the oversold area.

The instrument broke the 50, 100 and 200 Day EMAs downwards in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages lines are turning downwards.

Trading recommendations

All eyes are right now at the support level 101.40. Should the instrument break the level and the downward movement will be extended.



NZD/USD

General overview

The dollar weakened after worse-than-expected Q2 GDP data. The kiwi grew after positive building permits report.

Current situation

A rebound from the level 0.6950 allowed the instrument to form a bullish channel. The pair climbed to the fresh weekly high on Friday. The session high was marked at 0.7213. The resistance is at 0.7250, the support comes in at 0.7150.

Technical indicators are giving buy signals. MACD is still positive. The histogram grew which indicates the buyers’ strength. RSI entered the positive territory.

Technically, the price is trending upwards from the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs in the 4 hour chart. The moving averages are turning upwards.

Trading recommendations

The price may roll back to 0.7150 where it will turn upwards. In this potential scenario, the next stop for the NZD/USD could well be around 0.7250.



GOLD

General overview

The traders preferred buying the gold on Friday after the disappointed Fed’s decision to keep the rates unchanged. The Bank of Japan disappointed traders as well as the markets expected bolder actions from the regulator.

Current situation

Daily and weekly technical studies remain bullish. The pair had a positive day on Friday. Bulls are gradually gaining more control over the market. The buyers managed to lead the price from the support 1330 to the mark 1350. The resistance is seen at 1360, the support stands at 1330.

Indicators generated a buy signal. MACD is in the positive area. The histogram grew which indicates the buyers’ growing strength. Indicator RSI approached the overbought area.

Technically, the instrument is above the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs in the 4 hours chart. The price was growing from the moving averages. The 50-EMA is crossing the 100-EMA upwards. The 50, 100 and 200 Day EMAs are moving upwards.

Trading recommendations

The overall outlook remains bullish, for a rise towards 1360 resistance area.



Brent

General overview

The Brent fell to the April lows on Friday over the concerns regarding the world economy growth slow down.

Current situation

The Brent retreated from the oversold territory. The current rebound above 42.80 should be considered corrective. The instrument grew by 0.50% during the trades on Friday. The resistance is at 44.00, the support comes in at 42.80 dollars per barrel.

Indicators still generate a sell signal. However, MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. RSI left the oversold area.

The price grew and broke the 50-EMA upwards in the 1 hour chart. After the break the price remained at the 50-EMA. The 50, 100 and 200 Day EMAs are moving downwards.

Trading recommendations

All eyes are right now at the support level 42.80. Should that level break down and the price will decrease further to 41.40.



NASDAQ

General overview

The USA Bonds market started the last trading day in the red zone. The indices decreased after the disappointed GDP data in the USA.

Current situation

The overall outlook remained bullish. The index traded close to its highs at 4737. The price consolidated during the day. The NASDAQ closed the day bearish. The resistance is at 4800, the support stands at 4700.

The indicators recommend long positions. MACD is in the positive area. The histogram decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI left the overbought area.

The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs are moving upwards in the 4 hours chart.

Trading recommendations

We do not exclude a correction. The potential sell targets are the two levels of support: 4700 and 4650.



S&P 500

General overview

The USA Bonds Market slowed down. The weak oil, concerns over the world economy after the Brexit, the BoJ's disappointed decision weighed the S&P500 index.

Current situation

The index showed mixed dynamics. The price remained close to its all-time high. The resistance is seen at 2180, the support is at 2165.

MACD indicator is at the centerline. RSI is neutral.

The trading instrument broke under the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs for a while and returned above the moving averages in the 1 hour chart. The moving averages formed a narrow channel. All lines are moving upwards.

Trading recommendations

We believe the consolidation between the levels of 2180 and 2165 will be continued now.





*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

03.08.2016

Euro

General overview
Personal Incomes came in at 0.2% which did not coincide with the forecasts. Personal Spending showed 0.4% which met the traders’ expectations. The dollar remained under pressure across the board.

Current situation

The short term technical outlook is positive. The EUR/USD pair reached fresh post-Brexit highs. The instrument traded at the top of its ascending channel on Tuesday. The resistance is seen at 1.1270, the support stands at 1.1200.

The indicators remained within the positive territory. MACD is in the positive area. The histogram grew which indicates the buyers’ strength. RSI is in the overvalued area.

In the 4 hours chart, the instrument is heading higher above the 50, 100 and 200 Day EMAs. The moving averages are turning upwards. The 50-EMA is crossing the 100-EMA upwards and approaching the 200- EMA. The moving averages generate a buy signal.

Trading recommendations

The pair now seems to be heading towards its immediate resistance near 1.1270. We recommend buying on pullbacks



Pound

General overview

The positive Construction PMI boosted the pair upwards fueling its upward momentum. The concerns over the Fed’s rate hike together with the weak USA statistics weighed on the dollar.

Current situation

The pound strengthened on the dollar's weakness on Tuesday. The Sterling grew and left behind the side channel. The GBP/USD pair set a fresh high at 1.3356. The current resistance is seen at 1.3500, the support exists at 1.3300.

MACD is in the positive area. The histogram grew which indicates the buyers’ strength. RSI is approaching the oversold territory. The indicators generate a buy signal.

The price left the 50 and 100 Day EMAs behind and is approaching the 200-EMA in the 4 hours chart.
The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs are neutral. The moving averages are still neutral and do not generate any signal.

Trading recommendations

The pair had a positive day on Tuesday and it has all chances to have the same one on Wednesday. We feel comfortable taking short-term long positions. The instrument seems to be heading towards the resistance 1.3500



Yen

General overview

The yen grew to the 3-week high when the Japanese Prime Minister approved a fiscal stimulus package.Current situation
The price is bearish on intraday charts. The pair has been under pressure since last week. The USD/JPY continued moving lower and formed a lower low at 100.64. The resistance is at 101.40, the support comes in at 100.40.

The indicators MACD and RSI still generate sell signals. MACD decreased which indicates the sellers’ positions strength. RSI entered the oversold area.

The instrument broke the 50, 100 and 200 Day EMAs downwards in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages are heading downwards.

Trading recommendations

The short term picture is bearish. We believe that this is essentially a “sell only” market at the moment.
The nearest sellers' target lies at 100.40. We expect a short-term bullbacks towards 101.40



AUD/USD

General overview

In economic news, the RBA cut the rate by 25bps to a record low of 1.50%

Current situation

The AUD bounced from the support 0.7500 and rallied on the back of the RBA’s decision to cut the rate.
The pair could escalate up to 0.7600 where its rally slowed down. The session high was marked at 0.7635. The resistance is at 0.7700, the support comes in at 0.7600.

MACD is in the positive area. The histogram grew which indicates the buyers’ strength. RSI approached
the overbought territory.

The 4 hours chart shows that the instrument bounced from the 200-EMA and headed north leaving the 50,
100 and 200 EMAs behind. The moving averages are moving upwards.

Trading recommendations

We may expect a further growth towards 0.7700. Alternatively, the pair shall decrease to 0.7500.



GOLD

General overview

The gold remained at the 3-week highs as investors expect from the Fed further signals regarding a rate hike.

Current situation

The pair had a positive day on Tuesday. The instrument is approaching the resistance level of 1370. The resistance is seen at 1370, the support stands at 1350.

Indicators generated a buy signal. MACD is in the positive area. Indicator RSI entered the overbought area.

The price is above the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages generate a buy signal.

Trading recommendations

The potential growth targets are the resistance levels: 1370 and 1400.



Brent

General overview

The Brent futures are approaching the 41.40 level. The weakness around the dollar increased the demand for the oil.

Current situation

The tone is still negative in the market. The sellers managed to lead the price from the resistance 42.80 to the new session lows at 41.40. The resistance is at 42.80, the support comes in at 41.40 dollars per barrel.

Indicators still generate a sell signal. MACD decreased which indicates the sellers’ positions strengthening. RSI is close to the oversold area.

The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs accelerated their declines. All moving averages keep heading lower.

Trading recommendations

We believe the decrease will be continued now. The first target is the level 41.40, the next one is 40.00.
We do not exclude the growth to 42.80



NASDAQ

General overview

The USA stocks traded lower on the back of a modest earning report from Pfizer and the weak USA data.

Current situation

Technically, the main trend is up, however, the index closed bearish on Tuesday. The sellers led the price from all-time high to the support 4700. The resistance is at 4800, the support stands at 4700.

The indicators recommend short positions. MACD is in the positive area. The histogram decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI left the overbought area and approached the oversold one.

The 50-EMA stopped the yesterday’s decrease. The 50-EMA acted as a support for the price. The 50, 100 and 200 Day EMAs are moving upwards.

Trading recommendations

If Nasdaq does make a breakout at that level 4700 the index will resume its downward trajectory. If successful, it is expected to fall to the level 4650



S&P 500

General overview

The USA stocks presented a modest negative tone on the back of the concerns over the world economy growth and bearish sentiment growth in the commodity market.

Current situation

The index showed a negative dynamics. Sellers were able to drive the index lower. The price fell from the 2170 mark towards 2140. The resistance is seen at 2165, the support is at 2150.

The indicators generate a sell signal. MACD entered the negative area. MACD decreased which indicates sellers’ growing strength. Oscillator RSI approached the oversold territory.

In the 4 hours chart, the price broke the 50 and 100 EMAs. The moving averages are still moving upwards.

Trading recommendations

After the support level of 2140 breakthrough down the way to the support 2120 will be opened.



*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

04.08.2016

Euro

General overview

The dollar grew against a basket of its major peers on Wednesday. The US currency remained close to the 5-week lows as the markets are uncertain whether the Fed will hike the rate or not this year.

Current situation

The pair had a negative day on Wednesday. The EUR/USD traded in the upward channel, and approached its lower limit. The resistance is seen at 1.1200, the support stands at 1.1130.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. The indicator shows a divergence which is a sell signal. RSI left the overvalued area and is heading downwards.

In the 4 hours chart, the instrument is moving towards the 50, 100 and 200 Day EMAs. The 50-EMA is crossing the 100-EMA and the 200-EMA. The moving averages generate a buy signal.

Trading recommendations

We expect the EUR/USD will resume its decrease and will reach the level 1.1130.



Pound

General overview

The pound weakened following the Services PMI which met the traders’ expectations.

Current situation

The instrument remained close to the local highs. The price traded above the level 1.3300.The current resistance is seen at 1.3500, the support exists at 1.3300.

MACD is in the positive area. MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI left the oversold territory.

The price traded below the 200-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 200-EMA acts as a resistance. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs are neutral.

Trading recommendations

The pair looks bearish and may return below 1.3300. In this scenario, sellers will push the pair down to 1.3100.



Yen

General overview

The yen weakened following the BoJ’s minutes publication. The regulator plans to assess the impact of the negative rates on the economy.

Current situation

Traders pushed the dollar higher in the USD/JPY pair. The USD/JPY is trying to make a breakout at the resistance level of 101.40. The resistance is at 101.40, the support comes in at 100.40.

The indicators MACD and RSI still generate sell signals. MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. The indicator shows a convergence. RSI left the oversold area.

The instrument snapped the 50-EMA in the 1 hour chart. The 50, 100 and 200 Day EMAs are moving downwards.

Trading recommendations

We expect the 101.40 line break that will open the way for the buyers to 102.50.



NZD/USD

General overview

In economic news, Labour cost index added 1.6% vs. expectations of 1.8% in New Zealand.

Current situation

The kiwi faced a downside pressure and closed bearish yesterday. The lowest trading price was marked at 0.7140. The resistance is at 0.7250, the support comes in at 0.7150.

MACD is in the positive area. The histogram decreased which indicates the buyers’ strength weakening. RSI is in the neutral territory. The oscillator is decreasing.

There is a cross-over on the Moving Averages in the 4 hours chart. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs direction is upwards.

Trading recommendations

We believe the market would switch the tone to bearish. The pair may partly reverse its yesterday's losses, but it will resume its downward trajectory afterwards. The level 0.7050 is the sellers’ target.



GOLD

General overview

The gold remained positive amid decline in expectations that the Fed will hike the rate in near-term.

Current situation

The pair remained neutral during the day and fell in the North American session. The session low was marked at 1353.52. The resistance is seen at 1370, the support stands at 1350.

Indicators generated a weak buy signal. MACD is in the positive area. The histogram decreased which indicates the buyers’ strength weakening. Indicator RSI left the overbought area and is moving downwards.

The moving averages slightly changed from Tuesday.

Trading recommendations

All eyes are right now at the current support level 1358. If this support will break, the price may fall towards 1350.



Brent

General overview

The Brent reversed some of its early losses awaiting the Crude Oil Stocks change release. The Crude Oil Stocks change grew which is a negative factor for the Brent futures.

Current situation

The trend is bearish for now. The trading instrument recovered and closed the day bullish. The resistance is at 44.00, the support comes in at 42.80 dollars per barrel.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. RSI left the oversold area and is heading towards the overbought area.

The price broke the 50-EMA and 100-EMA in the 1 hour chart. All moving averages keep heading lower.

Trading recommendations

The upward movement potential targets are 44.00 and 45.30. If the price falls it will get to 41.40.



DAX

General overview

The European stocks traded lower on the back of the HSBC, SocGen и Credit Agricole shares growth.

Current situation

The tone is still positive in the market. The index had a positive day on Wednesday. DAX30 was able to reverse some of its previous losses. The index is trying to regain the 10175 mark. The resistance is at 10175, the support stands at 10000.

MACD is in the negative area. The histogram decreased which indicates the sellers’ positions strengthening. RSI rebounded from the overbought area.

The price broke 50-EMA, but was unable to leave it and stayed in its region. The 50-EMA acts as a resistance for the price now. The 50 and 100 Day EMAs are moving upwards, the 200-EMA is neutral.

Trading recommendations

If the price fixates below the level of 10175, it may continue the downward trend in the short term. The potential targets are 10000 and 9760.



S&P 500

General overview

Wall Street traded with slight gains as energy and financial sectors compensated healthcare and consumer goods decrease.

Current situation

The index showed a positive dynamics. Traders tried to push the index higher. However, the buyers ran out of steam and the upward move faded in the North American session. The resistance is seen at 2165, the support is at 2150.

The indicators generate a sell signal. MACD is in the negative area. MACD decreased which indicates sellers’ growing strength. Oscillator RSI is close to the oversold territory.

The moving averages slightly changed from yesterday.

Trading recommendations

We believe the growth will be continued now. The first target is the level 2160. We do not exclude the falls to 2140.



*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

05.08.2016

Euro

General overview

The euro has been decreasing the second day in a line. The single currency weakened amid the growing dollar. The Eurozone Economic Bulletin did not present any interesting information. The investors’ attention now turns to the US nonfarm payrolls report which will be released later today.

Current situation

The dollar traded mixed on Thursday, generally higher against the euro. The pair remained in a negative ground. The resistance is seen at 1.1200, the support stands at 1.1130.

MACD shows a divergence which is a sell signal. RSI left the overvalued area and is heading downwards.

In the 4 hours chart, the instrument bounced from the 50-EMA which crosses the 100 and 200 EMAs. The moving averages are neutral.

Trading recommendations

If the price makes another attempt and this time breaks below the 1.1130 support area then we could see a decrease towards 1.1050 and 1.1000.



Pound

General overview

The sterling showed a sharp drop for the first time after the Brexit referendum following the BoE’s decision to cut the basis rate by 0.25% and to launch the bond buying program.

Current situation

The pound had a negative day on Thursday. The GBP/USD had a sharp drop to the support 1.3100 area where the downward impulse faded. The Sterling lost about 1.60% during the course of the day. The current resistance is seen at 1.3300, the support exists at 1.3100.

MACD shows a divergence which points to the trend change. RSI approached the oversold territory.

The instrument bounced from the 200-EMA and fell in the 4 hours chart. The pair broke the 100 and 50 Day EMAs on its way. Now the price is below the moving averages which act as a resistance.

Trading recommendations

We are looking for the 1.3100 support break and then continuation of a fall with a further target at 1.2900.



Yen

General overview

The yen grew following the Kikuo Iwata comments (a Bank of Japan deputy governor). According to Mr. Kikuo Iwata the regulator does not have any preset agenda for its current policy.

Current situation

The pair USD/JPY remained neutral, staying below 101.40 region. The resistance is at 101.40, the support comes in at 100.40.

The MACD indicator shows a convergence which is a buy signal. RSI stayed close to the oversold area.

The instrument broke the 50-EMA before retreating it in the 1 hour chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) direction is downwards in the mentioned time frame.

Trading recommendations

The pair is neutral, awaiting for the NFP in the US. In the scenario where buyers return to the market the USD/JPY grows towards 102.50. Otherwise, the instrument will decrease to 100.40.



AUD/USD

General overview

The Aussie grew on the back of the negative Retail Sales in the country. The index came in worse-than-expected which did not stop the Australian dollar from resuming its growth.

Current situation

The pair held a bullish tone yesterday. The AUD/USD was climbing the whole day and reached the 0.7630 mark, the highest level since July 15th. The resistance is at 0.7700, the support comes in at 0.7600.

The indicators generate a buy signal. MACD is in the positive area. The histogram grew which indicates the buyers’ strength. RSI approached the overbought area.

The price is hovering above the 50, 100 and 200 Day EMAs in the 1 hour chart. The moving averages are moving upwards.

Trading recommendations

The pair can grow to the resistance level of 0.7700. After breaking 0.7700 the buyers may go to 0.7800.



GOLD

General overview

Gold grew and gained back its early losses following the Bank of England decision to cut the rate.

Current situation

The pair had a positive day on Thursday. Traders pushed the gold higher to the mark 1364 where the price had found a strong resistance. The resistance is seen at 1370, the support stands at 1350.

MACD is in the positive area. The histogram grew which is a buy signal. RSI is close to the overbought area.

The 1 hour chart shows that the price broke the 50 and the 100 EMAs before returning above them. The 50, 100 and 200 Day EMAs are trending upwards in the mentioned time frame.

Trading recommendations

The main point of focus today is Non Farm Payrolls in the USA. In the scenario when the Fed releases the positive unemployment report the gold futures will decrease towards 1350. Alternatively, the yellow metal will grow above 1370.



Brent

General overview

The Brent is under pressure. We believe the current oversupply and the world economy slow down will weigh on the oil price.

Current situation

The Brent closed bullish yesterday. Bulls seem to take control over the market. The buyers managed to lead the price from the support 42.80 to the 44.00 region where the pair found a strong resistance. We consider the current growth corrective. The resistance is at 45.30, the support comes in at 44.00 dollars per barrel.

MACD is in the positive area. The histogram grew which indicates the buyers’ strength. RSI approached the overbought area.

The instrument broke the bearish 50, 100 and 200 EMAs upwards in the 1 hour chart. The 50-EMA is turning upwards, the 100-EMA is neutral, the 200-EMA is still heading lower in the same chart. The price broke the 50-EMA and hovered above in the 4 hours chart. All moving averages keep heading lower.

Trading recommendations

We believe the growth will be continued now. The first target is the level 45.30. We do not exclude a decrease towards 42.80.



Nasdaq

General overview

American stocks showed little change on the back of the Bank of England decision to cut the rate.

Current situation

The index enjoyed a mixed session through trade on Thursday. The trading instrument remains in the upward channel. The index closed the day bullish. The resistance is at 4765, the support stands at 4700.

MACD is in the positive area. The MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of buyers. RSI is close to the overbought area.

The price bounced off the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. All moving averages are pointing higher which is a buy signal.

Trading recommendations

The potential growth target is the resistance level of 4800. We do not exclude the falls to 4650.



S&P 500

General overview

Wall Street showed low volatile trades, remaining in a flat on Thursday. The traders are cautious ahead of the NFP.

Current situation

The index held near the unchanged mark on Thursday. The price spent the day close to the opening mark. The resistance is seen at 2165, the support is at 2150.

MACD is in the negative area close to its centerline. Oscillator RSI is neutral.

The 50-EMA is crossing the 100-EMA downwards which is a sell signal.

Trading recommendations

We advise to short with the first target - 2150. When the pair consolidates below the first target, we can open deals to the level of 2140.




*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

09.08.2016

Euro

General overview

The Euro remained under pressure on Monday. Positive Industrial Production in Germany and Investors Confidence from Sentix were not able to support the single currency.

Current situation

The EUR/USD traded within Friday's close on Monday. The pair was unable to recover the 1.1100 level.
The short term picture is neutral. The resistance is seen at 1.1130, the support stands at 1.1050.

The indicators generate a sell signal. MACD is negative. The MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of sellers. RSI remained close to the oversold area.

In the 4 hours chart, the price broke the 50, 100 and 200 Day EMAs downwards and remained just below them. The moving averages are turning downwards.

Trading recommendations

We are bearish on the pair. We expect a break of 1.1050 and a further move towards the recent lows at 1.1000.



Pound

General overview

The pound stayed at the Friday’s close. The Sterling has been under pressure since the BoE cut the rate to cushion the Brexit negative impact.

Current situation

We preserve a short-term bearish outlook for the pair. The GBP/USD remained close to the fresh lows.
The price is locked between levels 1.3000 and 1.3100. The current resistance is seen at 1.3100, the support exists at 1.2900.

The indicators slightly changed from Friday. MACD and RSI generate a sell signal.

The trading instrument remained below the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs in the 4 hours chart. The moving
averages remained at the same place.

Trading recommendations

We expect a short-term growth towards 1.3175 where the 50 and 100 Day EMAs lie. In this potential scenario the GBP/USD shall bounce from the mentioned mark downwards towards 1.2900.



Yen

General overview

Traders continued closing long positions on the back of the renewed interest towards the risky assets.

Current situation

The instrument is modestly bullish in the short term. The USD/JPY maintained its strong buying tone.
The dollar grew in the pair and reached the level 102.50 where it spent the first day of the week. Theresistance is at 102.50, the support comes in at 101.40.

MACD indicator is at the centerline. If the histogram enters the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market. RSI is approaching the overbought territory.

The instrument broke the 50-EMA and stayed above it in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) direction is downwards in the mentioned time frame.

Trading recommendations

If the USD/JPY does make a breakout at that level 102.50 and upward trajectory will be continued towards 103.50.



NZD/USD

General overview

The NZD/USD decreased on the back of the stronger than expected the U.S labor data. The strong labour market makes us believe in the USA economy strength.

Current situation

The pair recovered and returned some losses it had suffered last week. The price bounced upwards from the current support at 0.7085. The session high was marked at 0.7142. The instrument closed the day bullish. Its tone is still positive. The resistance is at 0.7150, the support comes in at 0.7050.

The indicators are in the negative territory. MACD decreased which indicates the sellers’ strength. RSI
approached the oversold area.

The price bounced from the 200-EMA on Friday and returned above the 50 and 100 Day EMAs. The 50-EMA acts as a support. The moving averages are neutral.

Trading recommendations

An uptrend will start as soon, as the pair rises above the resistance level 0.7150. If the price is back below the 0.7085 (the 200-EMA) the price will resume its decrease towards 0.7050.



GOLD

General overview

Gold became cheaper on Monday after the strong U.S Labor market report which increased the possibility of the rate hike by the Federal Reserve this year.

Current situation

Gold futures remained at the weekly low after a sharp decrease last Friday. The price traded in a narrow side channel between the levels 1330 and 1337. The pair remained in the ascending channel, at its low boundary. The resistance is seen at 1350, the support stands at 1330.

MACD is in the negative area. The MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of sellers. RSI bounced from the oversold area.

The price remained below the 100-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The instrument is locked between the 100 and 200 EMAs. The moving averages are turning downwards.

Trading recommendations

We expect a pullback towards 1342 where the price may turn downwards and continue with a decrease.



Brent

General overview

Brent continued growing when some OPEC members suggested to limit the current oil production. The oversupply still weighs on the price.

Current situation

The Brent holds a bullish tone. The instrument grew and formed a higher high. The session high was marked at 45.53. The resistance is at 45.30, the support comes in at 44.00 dollars per barrel.

The indicators recommend long positions. MACD grew which is a buy signal. RSI stayed close to the oversold area.

The instrument broke the bearish 100-EMA and left it behind. The price is heading to the 200-EMA in the 4 hours chart now. The 50-EMA is neutral, the 100 and 200 EMAs are pointing lower.

Trading recommendations

Brent futures may roll back towards the 44.00 level. The main point of focus today is the release of Crude Oil Stocks change from API. Its results will determine the Brent further direction.



Nasdaq

General overview

Wall Street opened higher at the start of the new week. Stocked renewed all time highs on Friday on the back of the strong NFP report. The quotes moved lower during the day.

Current situation
The tone is still positive. However, the price bounced from the level 4800. The resistance is at 4800, the support stands at 4700.

MACD is in the positive area. The histogram decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening.
RSI left the overbought area.

The price is approaching the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs are heading higher.

Trading recommendations

The price may roll back to 4750 where we expect it to bounce upwards towards 4800.



S&P 500

General overview

S&P500 retreated from all-times highs following a drop in healthcare. The drop in healthcare lowered a positive impact of higher oil prices and a strong NFP report.

Current situationWe are still bullish longer-term. However, the index weakened and moved away from all-time high. The resistance is seen at 2180, the support is at 2165.

MACD is in the positive area. The histogram decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening.
RSI left the overbought area.

The 50-EMA is crossing the 100-EMA upwards which is a buy signal in the 1 hour chart. The 50-EMA extended its growth and is around 2170 now. The 50, 100 and 200 Day EMAs are trending upwards. The 50 and 100 EMAs are forming a cross-over in the 4 hours chart and act as a support for the instrument.

Trading recommendations

The S&P500 may decrease to the level 2165 where the 50 and 100 EMAs lie. The price may bounce back towards 2180.



*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

10.08.2016

Euro

General overview

The euro traded in a tight range while the dollar was under pressure all over the board. The demand for the euro is limited by the European stocks strengthening.

Current situation

The tone is still negative in the market. The pair spent the day in a narrow range locked in-between 1.1080 – 1.1100. The instrument tried to regain the 1.1130 level, but failed. The price spiked and returned into the range. The resistance is seen at 1.1130, the support stands at 1.1050.

MACD remained in the negative area. MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. RSI stayed close to the oversold area.

The moving averages are forming a narrow range in the 4 hours chart. The price tried to break the 50, 100 and 200 Day EMAs upwards, but failed and returned below the 200-EMA which acts as a resistance.

Trading recommendations

The EUR/USD is under pressure. The price will meet the further downside pressure after breaking 1.1080 downwards.



Pound

General overview

The pound softened to the fresh monthly lows against the dollar following the gloomy Production data in the country. The weak data renewed concerns over the UK economy strength.

Current situation

The tone is still negative in the market. The pound continued moving lower yesterday. The session low was marked at 1.2954. The current resistance is seen at 1.3100, the support exists at 1.2900.

The indicators slightly changed from Monday. MACD and RSI generate a sell signal.

The 100-EMA is crossing the 200-EMA in the 1 hour chart which is a sell signal. The price is approaching the 50-EMA which acts as a resistance for the instrument.

Trading recommendations

The price may pull back from the 1.3000 region where the 50-EMA lies. The level 1.2900 is the next sellers’ target.



Yen

General overview

The dollar remains strong against its rivals on the back of the strong Labor data in the USA.

Current situation

The USD/JPY closed bearish yesterday. The dollar retreated from the resistance 102.50 which is defended by the sellers. The resistance is at 102.50, the support comes in at 101.40.

MACD indicator is at the centerline. RSI is neutral.

Technically, the 4 hours chart shows that the price was struggling with the 50-EMA which limits its growth. An attempt to break the EMA failed and the instrument returned below. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) direction is downwards in the mentioned time frame.

Trading recommendations

If the price breaks above 102.50, then this could lead to a renewed buying momentum, possibly towards 103.50. Alternatively, the USD/JPY will decrease to 101.40.



AUD/USD

General overview

National Australia Bank's Business Conditions came in negative. Besides, the market remained under pressure following oil prices decrease.

Current situation

The pair had a positive day on Tuesday. The instrument grew in an ascending channel close to its upper limit. The resistance is at 0.7700, the support comes in at 0.7600.

MACD is in the positive area. The histogram grew which indicates the buyers’ strength. RSI approached the overbought area.

The price bounced from the 50-EMA in the 1 hour chart. The 50, 100 and 200 Day EMAs extended their growth. All EMAs are pointing upwards.

Trading recommendations

The pair is overbought. We expect a short-term rebound towards 0.7600 (the 50-EMA) where the price may upside and return to the growth.



GOLD

General overview

Gold is under pressure following the expectations for the next U.S. rate hike.

Current situation

Gold traded in a tight range on Tuesday. The price was sandwiched between 1330 – 1336. The metal partly recovered in the American session. Buyers were able to push the price to 1340. The resistance is seen at 1350, the support stands at 1330.

MACD remained in the negative area. MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. RSI bounced from the oversold area.

The price spiked upwards to the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA acts as a resistance for the XAU/USD. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs are neutral.

Trading recommendations

We expect Gold to continue growing with the target at 1350.



Brent

General overview

The Brent got under pressure yesterday due to the returned concerns over the oversupply. Besides, the price retreated when traders began closing their long positions.

Current situation

Bears seem to have the ball now. The price found a strong resistance at 45.30 which was not able to break. All buyers’ attempts to break the level were rejected and Brent returned below the level by the end of the trading day. The resistance is at 45.30, the support comes in at 44.00 dollars per barrel.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI bounced from the overbought area.

Brent holds above the 100-EMA which acts as a support for the instrument in the 4 hours chart. The 100 and 200 EMAs are heading downwards. The 50-EMA is neutral.

Trading recommendations

If the pressure persists the price will drop to 44.00. Otherwise, Brent will grow towards 46.50 where the 200-EMA lies.



DAX

General overview

DAX strengthened on Tuesday and set a new local high following the U.S stocks. Technology, Insurance and Chemicals sectors shares grew and pulled the index after them.

Current situation

Technically, the short term picture is bullish. DAX maintained its strong bid tone on Tuesday. The price set a new local high at 10700. The resistance is at 10700, the support stands at 10520.

MACD is still positive. The histogram grew which indicates the buyers’ strength. RSI entered the overbought area.

The price is heading north from the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 50, 100 EMAs are trending higher, the 200-EMA is neutral.

Trading recommendations

The price may pull back from the fresh highs. The sellers’ target is the level 10520.



S&P 500

General overview

S&P500 traded higher on Tuesday on the back of the Technology stocks growth and when oil price gound status quo.

Current situation

The quotes returned to all-time highs on Tuesday. The index spent the day below 2180. All buyers’ attempts to regain the level failed. The resistance is seen at 2180, the support is at 2165.

MACD is still in the positive area. The histogram points to the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI stayed close to the overbought area.

The 50-EMA is crossing the 100-EMA upwards which is a buy signal in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA acts as a support for the price. The 50, 100 and 200 Day EMAs are trending upwards.

Trading recommendations

If S&P500 manages to break the level 2180 the upward trajectory will be continued towards 2200. The price may retreat from the local highs to the support 2165 where the 50 and 100 EMAs exist.




*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

11/08/2016

Euro

General overview

The euro strengthened when analysts reassessed the likelihood of the rate hike this year.

Current situation

The euro erased its losses and rallied higher. Buyers managed to lead the price from the 1.1050 region to the level 1.1200. The resistance is seen at 1.1200, the support stands at 1.1130.

MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. RSI approached the overbought area.

The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs are forming a narrow range in the 4 hours chart. The price is heading from the moving averages in the mentioned time frame.

Trading recommendations

If the EUR/USD does make a breakout at that level 1.1200, it is expected to grow to the level 1.1270.

Alternatively, the instrument will decrease to 1.1050.



Pound

General overview

Sterling strengthened on the back of the weak dollar. Pound returned some of its losses, nevertheless, the GBP/USD remains under pressure.

Current situation

The technical picture presents a bearish tone. Pound partly reversed its losses and grew to the mark 1.3100 where it turned down. The current resistance is seen at 1.3100, the support exists at 1.2900.

MACD remained in the negative area. MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening.

RSI is neutral.

The price broke the 50 and 100 EMAs upwards and bounced back from the 200-EMA in the 1 hour chart.

The instrument rolled back from the 50-EMA after touching it in the 4 hours chart. The 50, 100 and 200 Day EMAs are pointing lower.

Trading recommendations

The pair now seems to be heading towards its immediate support near 1.2900. After breaking the level the way towards 1.2700 will be opened.



Yen

General overview

The USD/JPY erased all its gains and traded at the session lows. Markets doubt now the likelihood of the Fed rate hike in the current year. The yen grew supported by the stocks weakness and positive Machinery Orders.

Current situation

The pair faced further downside pressure. Dollar erased all its gains and headed back to local lows. After reaching the support at 101.00 the pair turned up. The resistance is at 101.40, the support comes in at 100.40.

The indicators headed south. MACD moved into the negative area which point to the strength of sellers. RSI dropped to the oversold area.

The USD/JPY bounced from the 50-EMA and headed away from it in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA provides a strong resistance in the 102.00 region. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) direction is downwards in the mentioned time frame.

Trading recommendations

The pair is under pressure. In the negative scenario, the instrument will fall towards 100.40. In the scenario where buyers take control the USD/JPY grows to 102.50.



USD/CAD

Current situation

The pair has been under intense selling pressure since last week. The instrument is in an upward channel and traders pushed the price to its low limit on Wednesday. The USD/CAD found a strong support at 1.3000 where the pair reversed and partly erased its gains. The resistance is at 1.3100, the support comes in at 1.3000.

MACD decreased which indicates the sellers’ positions strength. RSI approached the oversold area.

The price broke the 200-EMA and stopped in its region in the 4 hours chart. The instrument is between the 100 and 200 EMAs which act as a resistance and a support. The 50 and 100 EMAs are turning downwards. The 200-EMA is still trending upwards.

Trading recommendations

Shall the pair break 1.3000 the downward movement will be continued. Otherwise, we will see a solid growth towards the 1.3100 region where the upper limit of the ascending channel lies.



GOLD

General overview

Gold strengthened on Wednesday on the back of the weak dollar and decreased expectations that the Federal Reserve will have a rate hike in the upcoming months.

Current situation

The pair had a moderately positive day on Wednesday. Gold sharply rallied and set a new local high at 1356 where the pair turned down and erased some of its gains lately. The resistance is seen at 1350, the support stands at 1330.

MACD indicator is at the centerline. If the histogram enters the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market. RSI bounced from the overbought area.

The price spiked from the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. However, it returned back to the 50-EMA later the day. Now the 50-EMA acts as a support for the XAU/USD. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs are moving upwards.

Trading recommendations

The growing impulse faded and gold softened. If the price remains below 1357 the instrument will continue its downward trajectory. Alternatively, buyers will lead the price to the resistance at 1370.



Brent

General overview

Brent lost about 2% during the trades on Wednesday when the U.S. crude oil inventories unexpectedly rose in the latest week.

Current situation

The market sentiment switched to the negative. Traders pushed the oil futures lower and the instrument erased part of its gains by the end of the trades. The resistance is at 45.30, the support comes in at 44.00 dollars per barrel.

The indicators slightly changed from yesterday. Indicators generate a sell signal.

The 4 hours chart shows that the price is currently struggling with a bearish 100-EMA. The 100 and 200 EMAs are heading downwards. The 50-EMA is neutral.

Trading recommendations

Brent is now under the risk of falling under the level of 44.00. After breaking the mentioned level the way towards 42.80 will be opened.



Nasdaq

General overview

U.S stocks traded close to the closing levels. Nasdaq took a pause after setting new all-times highs.

Current situation

The index retreated from the fresh all-times highs. Traders pushed the price lower. Nasdaq remained in an ascending channel, the price is close to its lower limit. The resistance is at 4800, the support stands at 4700.

MACD is still positive. MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. RSI left the overbought area and is advancing south.

The price is approaching the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA acts as a support for the price. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs are heading higher.

Trading recommendations

The price may pull back from the fresh highs. The sellers’ target is the level 4750 where the 50-EAM lies.



S&P 500

General overview

S&P500 moved away from the record highs as weak oil weighs on the quotes.

Current situation

The index dropped back below the 2180 mark. The price decreased and is approaching the support at 2165. The resistance is seen at 2180, the support is at 2165.

MACD is still positive. MACD grew which indicates the sellers’ positions weakening. RSI left the overbought area and is advancing south.

The moving averages slightly changed from yesterday.

Trading recommendations

The price is approaching the support 2165 where the 50 and 100 EMAs lie. This loss of the 2165 level is now pointing to a further period of downside to come.



*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

12.08.2016

Euro

General overview

Dollar traded higher on the back of the strong Jobless Claims report which showed a drop in the claims number.

Current situation

The market little changed on Thursday. The pair could escalate up to 1.1180, however, the rally was short-lived and weak. The price remained in the same range. The resistance is seen at 1.1200, the support stands at 1.1130.

MACD still points to the sellers’ positions weakening. RSI stays close to the overbought area.

The moving averages slightly changed from yesterday.

Trading recommendations

If the EUR/USD keeps growing its next stop could well be at the 1.1200 region. Should the pair soften, the price will drop to 1.1050.



Pound

General overview

The GBP/USD ignored the U.S labour market data and oil prices growth. Investors’ attention now turns to the retail sales and consumer sentiment releases which may determine its further movement.

Current situation

The pair remained in red figures. Traders pushed the price lower on Thursday. The pound is now decisively trading above the 1.2900 mark. The current resistance is seen at 1.3100, the support exists at 1.2900.

MACD remained in the negative area. MACD decreased which indicates the sellers’ positions strength.

RSI approached the oversold area.

The 4 hours chart shows that the instrument remained below the bearish 50-EMA which extended its decline. The 50, 100 and 200 Day EMAs are heading lower.

Trading recommendations

The GBP/USD remained under pressure. We are looking for the current support break and then continuation of a fall with a further target at 1.2900 and further out 1.2700.



Yen

General overview

The yen erased all its latest gains after the Jobless Claims Report. Now traders are demanding further action from the Bank of Japan. If the pair continues softening the central bank will have to act accordingly.

Current situation

The market was low volatile during the European Session on Thursday and became active only after U.S Jobless Claims report. The dollar strengthened on the back of the strong U.S labor data. Traders were able to push the price higher. The instrument broke the level 101.40 and kept rallying. The resistance is at 102.50, the support comes in at 101.40.

MACD indicator is at the centerline. If the histogram enters the positive territory, that will indicate buyers’ growing strength. If MACD returns into the negative area the sellers will take control over the market. RSI bounced from the oversold area and is heading upwards.

The price broke the 50 and 100 EMAs in the 1 hour chart. After breaking the lines the pair continued advancing north. Now the 200-EMA acts as a resistance for the USD/JPY. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) direction is downwards in the mentioned time frame.

Trading recommendations

We believe the USD/JPY will move on to test the next bullish target at 102.00, where the 200-day moving average lies.



NZD/USD

General overview

The kiwi grew to one-month high following the RBNZ decision to cut the rate by 0.25%.

Current situation

Sellers seem to have returned to the market. After reaching the one-month high the price reversed and headed downwards. Traders were able to lead the price from the mark 0.7335 to 0.7225. The resistance is at 0.7250, the support comes in at 0.7150.

The indicators generate a sell signal. MACD decreased which indicates the sellers’ positions strength. RSI bounced from the overbought area.

The price is approaching the 50-EMA in the 1 hour chart. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs are still trending upwards.

Trading recommendations

The bearish views are getting more popular. We believe the pressure will persist. The next sellers' stop could well be at the 0.7150 region.



GOLD

General overview

Gold got under selling pressure after the positive U.S labour report. Analysts are evaluating a possible timing of a rate hike by the Fed.

Current situation

The pair spent Thursday in a narrow range 1341-1346. All buyers’ attempts to push the price higher failed. Sellers returned to the market after a bunch of the U.S statistics. The resistance is seen at 1350, the support stands at 1330.

MACD indicator is still at the centerline. RSI is neutral.

The instrument traded above the 50-EMA which acts as a support for the price in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are still trending higher.

Trading recommendations

Gold futures got under pressure. If the pressure persists the next sellers’ target will be at 1330 where a strong bullish 200-EMA lies in the 4 hours chart.



Brent

General overview

Brent strengthened during the North American session on Thursday. The prices recovered after a sharp drop on the back of the concerns over the world oversupply.

Current situation

Brent spiked and set a new weekly high at 46.30. The instrument is trying to make a breakout at the resistance level of 46.50. The resistance is at 46.50, the support comes in at 45.30 dollars per barrel.

MACD is in the positive area. The histogram grew which indicates the buyers’ strength. RSI approached the overbought area.

The price bounced from the 50-EMA, broke the 100-EMA and headed towards the 200-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 200-EMA stopped its further upward movement.

Trading recommendations

The market is bullish now. The price may slightly roll back towards 45.30 dollars per barrel where it may reverse back to a growth.



DAX

General overview

DAX traded higher on Thursday as Retail, Consumer & Cyclical and Technology supported the index. The index gained about 0.86% by the end of the trades.

Current situation

DAX was in a buy mood and traded higher on Thursday. The price could escalate up to 10740 where it set a new weekly high. The resistance is at 10700, the support stands at 10520.

Indicators remained within the positive territory. MACD grew which indicates the buyers’ positions strength. RSI entered the overbought area.

The price moved away from the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs which extended higher.

Trading recommendations

The price may pull back from the fresh highs. Sellers can return the price below 10700. If the price fixates over 10700 this could lead to renewed buying momentum, possibly towards 10900.



S&P 500

General overview

S&P500 grew following the positive U.S labor report and strong corporate earning which gains led the index higher. Besides, energy sector strengthened on the back of oil growth.

Current situation

Bulls still control the market. The index grew and set a fresh high at the mark 2184.4. The resistance is seen at 2180, the support is at 2165.

The MACD remained at the same level which confirms the strength of buyers. RSI returned to the overbought area.

The S&P500 bounced from the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart and moved away from it. The moving averages are trending higher which is a buy signal.

Trading recommendations

The index shall continue growing on the back of the positive U.S statistics. The 50 and 100 EMAs will act as a support. The instrument will move back and forth between the current resistance 2180 and the 50 and 100 EMAs.




 *Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

15/08/2016

Euro

General overview

The euro strengthened on the back of the U.S weak statistics. Retail Sales and PPI index came in worse than expected. Now traders diminished their expectations for another rate increase in the current year.

Current situation

The dollar partly weakened on the U.S data, but soon reversed and pushed the EUR/USD down. The price returned to the levels where it was before the Retail Sales and PPI releases and ended the day bearish. The resistance is seen at 1.1200, the support stands at 1.1130.

MACD remained in the positive area. MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI bounced from the overbought area and is heading to the south.

The price is hovering above the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs which are still forming a narrow channel in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages are pointing upwards.

Trading recommendations

Sellers might force the pair to resume its downward trajectory. The price may drift below 1.1130 to test the 1.1080 support area.



Pound

General overview

The pound is under pressure as the BoE relaunched its quantitative easing program.

Current situation

The pound remained under pressure despite the weak dollar. The sterling tried to grow, but the 50-EMA limited its growth. The GBP/USD had to return to the support 1.2900. The current resistance is seen at 1.3100, the support exists at 1.2900.

The indicators (MACD and RSI) still generate a sell signal.

The 50-EMA is a resistance where the price bounced downwards in the 4 hours chart. The 50, 100 and 200 Day EMAs are heading lower.

Trading recommendations

The overall outlook remains bearish, for a drop towards 1.2900 support area.



Yen

General overview

The yen rose on Friday after disappointing U.S statistics: Retail Sales showed a flat and PPI decreased which rose concerns over the strength of the U.S economy.

Current situation

The yen strengthened in the market amid risk aversion. Bears have the ball now and pushed the pair below the 101.40 level. The resistance is at 101.40, the support comes in at 100.40.

MACD decreased which confirms the strength of sellers. RSI stayed close to the oversold area.

The instrument bounced from the 100-EMA which stands around the resistance 102.50 in the 4 hours chart. The price dropped and returned below the 50-EMA. The moving averages direction is downwards.

Trading recommendations

The loss of the 101.40 level will point to a further period of downside to come. A break below this mark risks a decline towards the support at 100.40.



USD/CAD

General overview

The commodity currencies ignored oil prices sharp growth and remained under pressure together with the U.S. dollar.

Current situation

The pair presented a modest bearish tone. The USD/CAD continued to grind lower and approached the support level of 1.2900. The resistance is at 1.3000, the support comes in at 1.2900.

The indicators generate a sell signal. MACD decreased which indicates the sellers’ positions strength. RSI is close to the oversold area.

The price is heading from the moving averages in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA is crossing the 100-EMA downwards. All moving averages are turning down.

Trading recommendations

If the downward pressure persists we think that the 1.2900 level will be the next sellers' target.



GOLD

General overview

Investors are concerned over the global market prospects and chose gold as a safe asset.

Current situation

The gold remained in an upward channel close to its lower limit. Traders pushed the price lower to the support 1330 by the end of the trades. The resistance is seen at 1350, the support stands at 1330.

MACD is in the negative area. MACD decreased which confirms the strength of sellers. RSI is still neutral.

The price broke the 50 and 100 EMAs and stopped just below the last in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) are still trending higher.

Trading recommendations

We still support the idea of a decrease towards 1130.



Brent

General overview

Oil prices spiked due to the dollar weakening which holds the quotes near the day peaks.

Current situation

The Brent holds a bullish tone. The price left the descending channel and formed an upward now. The resistance is at 47.50, the support comes in at 46.50 dollars per barrel.

The indicators MACD and RSI recommend long positions.

The price broke the long-term 200-EMA upwards and moved away from the line. The 50-EMA is breaking the 100-EMA upwards.

Trading recommendations

If the Brent remains above 200-EMA which stands around the 46.50 region the growth will be continued. The level 47.50 is the next buyers’ target.



Nasdaq

General overview

Wall Street weakened after weaker-than-expected Retail Sales and Production Prices report. Despite the positive labour market data the Fed may wait with the rate hike until it gets a solid proof over the strength of the economy.

Current situation

Nasdaq refreshed its new local highs. The price returned to the resistance at 4800 where it ended the trading week. The resistance is at 4800, the support stands at 4700.

MACD remained in the positive area. The histogram grew which indicates the buyers’ strength. RSI is close the overbought area.

The price hovered above the 50-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 50, 100 and 200 EMAs are still pointing upwards.

Trading recommendations

If the instrument breaks above the level 4800 the price will grow to the next resistance at 4900.



S&P 500

General overview

The U.S stocks traded lower on Friday right the next day they had reached their historical peaks since 1999 on the back of the weaker-than-expected U.S statistics.

Current situation

The index set a new all-time high at the mark 2184.8 and is now decisively trading a few pips below this mark. The resistance is seen at 2180, the support is at 2165.

MACD decreased which indicates the buyers’ positions weakening. RSI moved away from the overbought area and is trending downwards.

The moving averages have slightly changed from Friday.

Trading recommendations

S&P500 shall struggle for the mark 2180. If buyers win the price will climb towards 2200. Alternatively, sellers will push the price towards 2165.



*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

16.08.2016

Euro

General overview

The dollar softened against its main rivals as the disappointing U.S statistics kept weighing on it.

Current situation

The euro strengthened on Monday on the back of the weak dollar. Traders were able to push the price upwards to the 1.1200 region. The resistance is seen at 1.1200, the support stands at 1.1130.

MACD is in the positive area. The histogram grew which indicates the buyers’ strength. RSI approached the overbought area. Indicators generate a buy signal.

The price is moving away from the 50, 100 and 200 EMAs in the 4 hours chart. The moving averages range is expanding, the 50-EMA is moving away from the 100 and 200 EMAs. Moving averages generate a buy signal.

Trading recommendations

The price approached the resistance 1.1200. If the EUR/USD breaks the level the growth trajectory will be continued towards 1.1270.



Pound

General overview

The pound erased its latest gains as the delay with leaving the EU returned uncertainty to the markets.

Current situation

The pound remained under pressure, the sterling continued to approach the 31-yeal low. The instrument suffered a short lived downward movement, traders pushed the price below 1.2900.The current resistance is seen at 1.2900, the support exists at 1.2700.

The indicators (MACD and RSI) remained unchanged, both of them generate a sell signal.

The price headed away from the moving averages (50, 100 and 200) which are pointing lower in the 4 hours chat. The moving averages generate a sell signal.

Trading recommendations

We remain bearish on the pair. Once we break below the 1.2900 level, we think that the 1.2700 level will be next.



Yen

General overview

The yen slightly weakened on the back of the softer than expected GDP data of Q2.

Current situation

The dollar slightly recovered on Monday, however, we preserve a bearish outlook. The USD/JPY remained below 101.40 by the end of the trades. The resistance is at 101.40, the support comes in at 100.40.

MACD decreased which confirms the strength of sellers. RSI is neutral.

The price remained below the 50-EMA which extended lower. The 50-EMA acts as a resistance for the pair. The moving averages (50, 100 and 200) direction is downwards.

Trading recommendations

The overall outlook remains bearish, for a fall towards 100.40 support area.



Brent

General overview

The Brent grew and reached the 3-week high on the expectations of the OPEC meeting next month.

Current situation

Brent strengthened, the price traded in an upper channel and approached its upper limit by the end of the trades. The resistance is at 48.50, the support comes in at 47.50 dollars per barrel.

MACD is in the positive area. If MACD remains positive buyers’ positions will strengthen. RSI entered the overbought area.

Brent futures moved away from the 200-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The 50-EMA crossed the 100-EMA in the mentioned time frame.

Trading recommendations

All eyes are right now at the resistance level 48.50. If Brent breaks the level it will keep growing towards 49.50. The instrument may pull back below 47.50 which is a good chance to buy on a dip.



S&P 500

General overview

Wall Street traded higher on Monday, the stocks set new all-times highs on the back of strong oil futures.

Current situation

Traders pushed the index higher and S&P500 was able to escalate up to 2190. The resistance is seen at 2200, the support is at 2180.

MACD remained in the positive area. The histogram grew which indicates the buyers’ strength. RSI moved away from the overbought area and stopped in a neutral area.

The 50-EMA moved away from the 100-EMA in the 4 hours chart. The price is still well above its moving averages. The moving averages are moving upwards in the mentioned time frame.

Trading recommendations

If a bullish momentum is preserved the index will continue setting new highs. The next buyers’ target is the mark 2200.



*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

17.08.2016

EURUSD

The European currency was finally able to break through a strategic 61.8 Fibonacci extension level (minimum-maximum uptrend of 2000-2008), which takes place in the region of EUR 1.1995 level. This means that in the medium-long term market returns to the bull trend. The fundamental picture is favorable toward this. The US dollar continues to lose ground, weakening against other major currencies. Dollar index has dropped in the area of two-month lows below 95 and 94 points. The negative dynamics of the USD is basicaly due to a decrease in the likelihood of rate hike in this year by the Fed. Today's statistics showed that US inflation remains at current boundaries. US consumer price index in July rose 0.1% compared to June, below expectations of analysts, who had forecast an increase of 0.2%. On the contrary, strong data from Europe supported the European currency. Nevertheless, we believe that resistance at 1.1322-1.1330, will not be passed immediately, and the market expects a pullback and consolidation in the 1.1195-1.1235 area, the old resistance area, which now acts as a strong support. In the medium term, we expect the pair is to gain to the area EUR1.1440-EUR1.1500



USD / JPY:

Today during the Asian session, the Japanese Yen continued to strengthen due to the US dollar weakening. USD / JPY pair is trading near an important strategic level of JPY100. As a result of downward movement the markets now below JPY100.77 support level. The probability to go lower seems to be valid, for the weakness of the US dollar promotes it. However, we believe that the pair is kind oversold and a psychological level of JPY99.90-JPY100 will continue to restrain the downward movement. Before going lower we shall see at least one more pullback upwards. From a technical point of view, at the American session, the pair turned to correction and rolled back into the area JPY100.42 JPY100.77 where we can expect the resumption of sales. However, we are cautious about quick passage JPY100-99.90 level.



XAUUSD:

From a fundamental point of view, the situation in the gold market develops interestingly. It is possible that the main phase of the current cycle of growth in this market is behind us. Reduced likelihood of a rate hike this year in the US- is a negative factor for precious metal. At the same time, the gradual return of risk appetite transfers the capital out of the gold market in the stock assets. Nevertheless it from a technical point of view, gold is trading in the mid-channel of 1335-1358 and we expect that some time the gold market will remain in this range. However, we note that the probability of testing the lower boundary of this range (US $ 1335 support per troy ounce) increases.



BRENT

Yesterday, Brent crude oil futures tested the level of 48.5 dollars per barrel, but failed to stay above. During the day the market was also unable to move higher. Whereas yesterday's impressive growth, there are reasons to expect a rollback on the factor of possible profit-taking. In the medium term the probability of Brent return to $ 50 area is high, at least while speculation about Energy Forum in Algeria remains in the game. From a technical point of view, the oil enters the high resistance area 48.50 -49 dollars per barrel.



S@P 500

US stock market today moved lower, retreating from historical highs. However, it may be noted that in despite restrained market dynamics and consolidation, risk appetite continues to dominate and the demand for stock assets is maintained. We expect the return to growth in the middle of the week after the Fed minutes published. From technical point of view first support is around 2176.76 points, and the next in the area of 2169 points.



*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman

[ValdisTF]

"Fort Financial Services"- fundamental and technical analysis.

18.08.2016

EUR / USD

General overview

The EUR/USD trend remains bullish as pair is trading above the 61.8 Fibonacci extension (minimum-maximum uptrend 2000-2008), which passes near the level EUR 1.1995. Market is in consolidation mode.

Current situation

Despite the fact that in the general market sentiment got worse- the correction in the stock markets and the US currency gains, today the EURUSD pair is trading steadily at EUR 1.1270, consolidating after yesterday's growth from EUR1.1180 to EUR 1.1323

Trading recommendations

We expect ranged consolidation trade between 1.1195-1.1235, the old resistance area, which now acts as a strong support, and resistance area 1.1300-1.1322 and above.



JPY / USD

General overview

Today during the Asian session, the USDJPY has successfully implemented our yesterday's forecast. The pair pulled back to JPY100.77 and further to the area of 101.14, where stops and limits got triggered to lead USDJPY back to JPY100.74. In addition to the US dollar gains caused by Dudley speaking, the Japanese currency has been weakened by Japan Minister who said that financial authorities are ready to intervene if the exchange rate levels will be inappropriate.

Trading recommendations

According to our forecasts, this market will be trading around the 100.77 level and within the limits JPY99.90-JPY101.67 range for some time. The negative downward trend is intact.



XAU / USD

General overview

Gold continues to trade within a medium-term channel $1335- $1358.

Current situation

Today gold market consolidate at the level of the balance price of this range at $1344. Trading activity during the day is reduced, for some time gold will stay consolidated within this range.

Trading recommendations

We note that the chance for downward consolidation breakout increased. (support at $1,335). However the likehood of the Fed rate hike can dramatically change the balance of power in this market.



BRENT OIL

General overview

Yesterday oil quotes came close to the resistance level of 49 dollars per barrel. After 4 days of growth, the market looks overbought and correction seems possible. US dollar gains will put pressure on the oil market as well. Published today, the data from US Information Energy Agency shows that last week, crude oil inventories have fallen by -2.508 million barrels, while analysts expected an increase of 0.522 million barrels.

Trading recommendations

The publication of the last Fed meeting protocols can also exert a strong influence on the oil market. However at the American session markets keeps on gaining trying to settle above $49.



SP 500

General overview

Concerns that the Fed will hike rates broke out with renewed vigor. Data on industrial production and the construction of US homes were positive, though accepted by the market negatively. American markets shifted to correction. The news of a possible rate hike in the US in the near future can dramatically change the market sentiment and lead to a weakening of risk assets demand and strengthening of the American currency.

Current situation

Today, mini SP 500 futures continue to show a negative trend, testing the key support level of 2167-2170 points. Market sentiment is negative.

Trading recommendations

The market is testing the important support level of 2170 points. The passage of this level will trigger a further longs sale -off dropping the market to 2160 and beyond 2150 points.



*Analytical review is presented by the leading analyst of the broker Fort Financial Services, Alexander Kofman